MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a4f3bc6c93e68989cd2e674c9b5cd2b3d5b2a8432800c8b5272ff1f9742fb6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Over | 48c | 39,281$18,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,546.51 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 31,561$16,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,138.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 48c | 16,600$7,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,967.99 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 6,966$3,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.79 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 6,919$3,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540.88 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 52c | 4,811$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.32 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 36c | 4,424$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 48c | 3,194$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.92 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 2,326$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 48c | 1,391$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.79 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 908.98$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.58 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 52c | 873.69$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.37 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Under | 49c | 780$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 52c | 724.25$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.64 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 648.96$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.99 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 49c | 639.88$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.14 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…ffcabacked Over | 51c | 637.82$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.53 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 49c | 617$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.33 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 44c | 443.18$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 52c | 434.04$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.34 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 52c | 384.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.64 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 355.58$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.23 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Under | 35c | 353.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 52c | 335.81$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.19 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 330.18$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.79 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 58c | 316$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 52c | 244.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.35 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…dcedbacked Under | 48c | 205$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 20c | 202.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 48c | 198$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 17c | 195$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 51c | 188.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 49c | 174.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Under | 51c | 152.02$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 48c | 152$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 145.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 79c | 125.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 45c | 124.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 66c | 118$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 53c | 106.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…806fbacked Under | 49c | 99.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Over | 53c | 89.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Under | 46c | 88.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 68c | 81.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 48c | 72.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 43c | 72.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 68.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 48c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Over | 53c | 58.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 49c | 53.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Under | 49c | 52.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a5…1c38backed Under | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 48c | 51.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 48c | 49.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 52c | 48.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 48.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 44c | 47.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 51c | 33.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Under | 48c | 33.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 52c | 30.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 40c | 30.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under | 48c | 23.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…c4cebacked Under | 49c | 21.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.