Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Krakow Men: Achilles Belkovics vs Jan Sadzik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27f365204ce1103c88f3378e1855949fd92c8d8674980dc59897acd7b896ec08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jan Sadzikof Achilles Belkovics, Jan Sadzik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jan Sadzik | 52c | 1,893$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.66 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jan Sadzik | 69c | 1,462$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Achilles Belkovics | 24c | 1,397$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.82 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8db8backed Achilles Belkovics | 29c | 879.45$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.04 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Achilles Belkovics | 38c | 696.07$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.74 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Achilles Belkovics | 32c | 587.85$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.06 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Achilles Belkovics | 32c | 519.85$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.41 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Jan Sadzik | 67c | 264.76$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Achilles Belkovics | 58c | 226.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.15 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Achilles Belkovics | 57c | 191.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Achilles Belkovics | 40c | 170.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Achilles Belkovics | 38c | 167.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…a375backed Achilles Belkovics | 44c | 159.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Achilles Belkovics | 30c | 153$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Achilles Belkovics | 43c | 142.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Achilles Belkovics | 34c | 136.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Jan Sadzik | 78c | 127.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b0…097dbacked Jan Sadzik | 74c | 113.51$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Achilles Belkovics | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Achilles Belkovics | 67c | 74.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Achilles Belkovics | 43c | 57.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Achilles Belkovics | 42c | 55.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Jan Sadzik | 55c | 50.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Achilles Belkovics | 39c | 47.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Achilles Belkovics | 25c | 41.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Jan Sadzik | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Jan Sadzik | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…b03abacked Jan Sadzik | 56c | 27.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Jan Sadzik | 53c | 26.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c148backed Jan Sadzik | 50c | 23.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jan Sadzik | 58c | 23.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.