Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9014af7e89fb997edc20710995ccd3d8f28debc0cfdd567bcfb1d55c53ff168
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Team Lynx, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 1,902$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.89 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 1,527$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.26 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…539cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 1,476$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 1,441$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.93 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 1,086$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.09 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d5…e459backed Team Lynx | 64c | 762.45$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Team Lynx | 62c | 734$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Lynx | 71c | 733.5$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.49 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Team Lynx | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Lynx | 80c | 449.99$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Team Lynx | 80c | 389.88$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Lynx | 64c | 379.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…0c2abacked Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 369.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Lynx | 74c | 338.13$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.23 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 329.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Team Lynx | 76c | 329$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 296.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…b695backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 269.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 268.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 255.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 249.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 240.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Lynx | 61c | 219.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Lynx | 70c | 219.07$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b86…dd8fbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 206.38$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Lynx | 74c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Team Lynx | 66c | 199.59$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 198.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 197.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Team Lynx | 69c | 194.95$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 176.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Team Lynx | 79c | 173.02$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 172.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 171.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 322 | 41.6%134 W · 188 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65d…1933backed Team Lynx | 77c | 168.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 163.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…6821backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 163.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Team Lynx | 79c | 158.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fd…b019backed Team Lynx | 62c | 157.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx | 74c | 154.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 144.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 142.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…a696backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 130.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Team Lynx | 78c | 126.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…7c8bbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 125.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 119.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Team Lynx | 76c | 116.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 114.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Team Lynx | 78c | 110.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Team Lynx | 63c | 110.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 103.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…51f8backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 98.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 93.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Lynx | 63c | 89.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 86.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…cd03backed Team Lynx | 77c | 82.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Lynx | 60c | 81.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…04fbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 80.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 70.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Lynx | 77c | 68.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Team Lynx | 68c | 68.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 64.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 63.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Team Lynx | 61c | 63.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Team Lynx | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Team Lynx | 67c | 56.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 268 | 59%158 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 55.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Team Lynx | 71c | 55.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 55.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Team Lynx | 63c | 54.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 53.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Team Lynx | 69c | 42.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed Team Lynx | 80c | 41.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 41.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Team Lynx | 67c | 39.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 38.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Team Lynx | 66c | 34.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 105 | 71.4%75 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…5d87backed Team Lynx | 63c | 31.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…2f3cbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 28.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Team Lynx | 69c | 28.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Team Lynx | 69c | 28.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Team Lynx | 61c | 28.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Team Lynx | 65c | 16.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Team Lynx | 77c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Team Lynx | 77c | 13.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)Team Lynx won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.