Tennis · resolved market

Prague: Nerman Fatic vs Matthew William Donald

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb93f662f951a5b3648174636423c9ba90e36e70171c7c236da06e09d559c3cb1

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nerman Faticof Nerman Fatic, Matthew William Donald
Resolved: Aug 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $109,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $125,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,217 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5ba6…0f07backed Nerman Fatic	62c	10,000$6,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,800	669	49.6%332 W · 337 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Nerman Fatic	63c	9,524$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,523.98	488	55.9%273 W · 215 L	-20.0wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Matthew William Donald	61c	5,442$3,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,319.47	346	55.2%191 W · 155 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb6…8b20backed Matthew William Donald	5c	4,167$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	67	10.4%7 W · 60 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Matthew William Donald	37c	3,226$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190	1,026	50%513 W · 513 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Nerman Fatic	79c	2,768$2,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.78	2,281	52%1,187 W · 1,094 L	+82.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Matthew William Donald	35c	2,725$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$966.94	1,435	24.3%348 W · 1,087 L	-36.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Matthew William Donald	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	385	57.1%220 W · 165 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Nerman Fatic	55c	1,802$988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$813.61	636	48%305 W · 331 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Matthew William Donald	57c	1,769$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010	423	32.4%137 W · 286 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Nerman Fatic	78c	1,707$1,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.45	258	54.3%140 W · 118 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7c5…99d8backed Nerman Fatic	61c	1,643$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.39	128	53.9%69 W · 59 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Matthew William Donald	21c	1,500$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.87	477	28.1%134 W · 343 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Nerman Fatic	42c	1,047$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.52	302	35.4%107 W · 195 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Matthew William Donald	17c	1,000$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.5	440	18.9%83 W · 357 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Matthew William Donald	37c	967.93$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.86	1,865	45.6%851 W · 1,014 L	+50.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Nerman Fatic	61c	940.49$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.11	1,624	49.8%809 W · 815 L	-9.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Matthew William Donald	33c	858.6$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	1,566	40%627 W · 939 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Nerman Fatic	79c	842.45$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.91	318	55.7%177 W · 141 L	+16.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Nerman Fatic	61c	819$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.41	1,111	45.3%503 W · 608 L	-35.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nerman Fatic	76c	771.21$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.43	8,505	42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L	-166.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Matthew William Donald	72c	716.48$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.33	721	47.3%341 W · 380 L	-18.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Matthew William Donald	22c	681.82$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	982	40.1%394 W · 588 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Matthew William Donald	38c	653.49$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.44	1,865	44.7%834 W · 1,031 L	+36.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nerman Fatic	59c	565.13$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.99	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Matthew William Donald	40c	525$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	479	56.6%271 W · 208 L	-9.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Matthew William Donald	54c	511$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.89	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Nerman Fatic	69c	479.37$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.97	3,068	57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L	+173.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Matthew William Donald	21c	432.99$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.8	191	31.4%60 W · 131 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5818…5269backed Matthew William Donald	42c	430$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.5	89	33.7%30 W · 59 L	-8.4wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Nerman Fatic	50c	401.72$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.72	1,671	53%885 W · 786 L	+44.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Matthew William Donald	37c	378.1$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.66	8,828	36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L	-193.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Nerman Fatic	47c	360.04$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.57	1,308	38.9%509 W · 799 L	-23.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Matthew William Donald	41c	351.39$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.49	3,661	45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nerman Fatic	52c	331.48$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.94	2,766	47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L	+44.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Matthew William Donald	40c	328.05$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.83	4,185	44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L	+14.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Matthew William Donald	37c	300$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.68	528	47%248 W · 280 L	-19.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf65e…e5e6backed Nerman Fatic	63c	300$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Matthew William Donald	22c	300$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	1,861	44.4%827 W · 1,034 L	-15.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Nerman Fatic	78c	292.15$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.3	247	62.3%154 W · 93 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Nerman Fatic	67c	287.15$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.15	883	58.2%514 W · 369 L	+12.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nerman Fatic	67c	253.1$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.34	4,533	67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L	+306.6wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Matthew William Donald	38c	250.39$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.15	1,023	41.3%422 W · 601 L	-24.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbcc…459fbacked Matthew William Donald	41c	244.02$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Nerman Fatic	41c	239.98$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.58	135	31.1%42 W · 93 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Matthew William Donald	19c	204.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	88	10.2%9 W · 79 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Nerman Fatic	71c	204.38$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.65	1,959	43.7%857 W · 1,102 L	-20.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Nerman Fatic	61c	200$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Matthew William Donald	10c	200$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.61	9,286	44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L	-245.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Nerman Fatic	58c	182.95$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.84	825	60.5%499 W · 326 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5dc…7f44backed Matthew William Donald	67c	173.61$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab70…774cbacked Matthew William Donald	45c	162.38$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.07	169	57.4%97 W · 72 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882e…e0a1backed Nerman Fatic	63c	156.25$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.81	113	37.2%42 W · 71 L	-11.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0f79backed Nerman Fatic	63c	156.25$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.81	133	37.6%50 W · 83 L	-17.3wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb38d…6735backed Nerman Fatic	63c	156.25$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.81	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd812…203fbacked Nerman Fatic	63c	156.25$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.81	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	-11.3wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfed8…5339backed Nerman Fatic	63c	156.25$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.81	115	39.1%45 W · 70 L	-11.2wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f85…f9f5backed Nerman Fatic	63c	156.25$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.81	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66eb…a375backed Nerman Fatic	63c	156.25$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.81	100	38%38 W · 62 L	-10.0wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-32%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81f9…d394backed Nerman Fatic	63c	156.25$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.81	124	41.1%51 W · 73 L	-8.4wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfcd…e73fbacked Nerman Fatic	63c	156.25$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.81	102	40.2%41 W · 61 L	-8.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4285…c6b9backed Matthew William Donald	69c	141.37$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	73	57.5%42 W · 31 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a62…4ab9backed Nerman Fatic	25c	136$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	145	36.6%53 W · 92 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Nerman Fatic	55c	135.37$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.26	1,710	53.7%918 W · 792 L	+30.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Matthew William Donald	37c	130.49$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.49	7,139	49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L	+109.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Nerman Fatic	62c	127.3$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.37	1,679	48.1%808 W · 871 L	+36.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Matthew William Donald	41c	126.49$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.81	672	39.1%263 W · 409 L	-29.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Nerman Fatic	60c	126.27$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.05	1,429	44.2%631 W · 798 L	-23.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d9…4968backed Nerman Fatic	23c	121.22$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.34	126	41.3%52 W · 74 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Nerman Fatic	63c	120.69$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.69	351	64.7%227 W · 124 L	+20.8wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Matthew William Donald	58c	120$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.8	338	55%186 W · 152 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Nerman Fatic	77c	115.97$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.14	1,065	54.7%583 W · 482 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Matthew William Donald	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,601	46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L	+18.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Matthew William Donald	37c	108.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	279	43.4%121 W · 158 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb3…ed90backed Nerman Fatic	62c	103$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.32	38	73.7%28 W · 10 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	59cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Matthew William Donald	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	365	57.3%209 W · 156 L	+16.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Nerman Fatic	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	1,955	48%939 W · 1,016 L	+16.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Nerman Fatic	36c	100$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	788	38.2%301 W · 487 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Nerman Fatic	52c	99.68$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.82	489	47.4%232 W · 257 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Matthew William Donald	47c	97.7$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.92	3,220	40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L	+28.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Nerman Fatic	65c	94.54$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.9	6,449	46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L	-42.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…b706backed Nerman Fatic	59c	92.76$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.03	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Matthew William Donald	46c	90.51$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.39	6,786	48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L	+56.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Matthew William Donald	40c	87.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.62	279	49.1%137 W · 142 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Matthew William Donald	41c	85.61$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.75	5,350	56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L	+228.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Matthew William Donald	44c	84$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.96	2,151	37.3%802 W · 1,349 L	-27.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7df…b852backed Nerman Fatic	62c	81$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.78	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+2.7wins	+0.30per pick	59cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Nerman Fatic	62c	77.42$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.42	82	57.3%47 W · 35 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Nerman Fatic	68c	75.48$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.28	1,708	44.8%766 W · 942 L	-18.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Matthew William Donald	22c	72.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.05	329	52.3%172 W · 157 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8468…3860backed Nerman Fatic	21c	71.43$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.43	242	31%75 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c69…3ccebacked Nerman Fatic	40c	62.46$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.46	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Matthew William Donald	38c	60$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	405	27.2%110 W · 295 L	-17.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1f…57adbacked Matthew William Donald	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	136	52.2%71 W · 65 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Matthew William Donald	62c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.15	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Nerman Fatic	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	557	48.8%272 W · 285 L	+23.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a7b…f972backed Matthew William Donald	40c	49.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	127	42.5%54 W · 73 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfd…a7e7backed Matthew William Donald	37c	48.68$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.24	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Nerman Fatic	62c	48.39$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.39	327	47.7%156 W · 171 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b6…9b2cbacked Matthew William Donald	39c	46.14$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	155	57.4%89 W · 66 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Prague: Nerman Fatic vs Matthew William Donald

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market