CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d46cb45275f3d3ccbd3af7a4ae2f24fb012115316a1334b6d5fc806f16816f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metizportof Metizport, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x637f…38d0backed Donstu Esports | 8c | 2,946$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Metizport | 79c | 2,813$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.73 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Donstu Esports | 14c | 2,306$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.05 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Donstu Esports | 21c | 2,079$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.66 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Donstu Esports | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Donstu Esports | 13c | 1,078$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Donstu Esports | 33c | 871.89$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.72 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Donstu Esports | 7c | 666.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbb…f53cbacked Donstu Esports | 26c | 535.5$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.58 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Donstu Esports | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…534dbacked Donstu Esports | 6c | 489.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Donstu Esports | 20c | 409$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Donstu Esports | 14c | 406.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Metizport | 73c | 370.85$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Donstu Esports | 14c | 369.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Donstu Esports | 9c | 364.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Metizport | 77c | 345.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Donstu Esports | 13c | 341$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Donstu Esports | 20c | 313.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Donstu Esports | 20c | 290.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked Donstu Esports | 28c | 287.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Metizport | 67c | 286$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Metizport | 62c | 233.61$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Donstu Esports | 17c | 230.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Donstu Esports | 15c | 224.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Donstu Esports | 14c | 220$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Donstu Esports | 22c | 218.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed Donstu Esports | 23c | 206.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Donstu Esports | 21c | 202.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Donstu Esports | 20c | 202.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Donstu Esports | 13c | 201$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…eb57backed Donstu Esports | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…13d6backed Donstu Esports | 10c | 191.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Donstu Esports | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Metizport | 68c | 167$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed Donstu Esports | 15c | 166.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Donstu Esports | 15c | 162$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Donstu Esports | 27c | 152.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Donstu Esports | 14c | 152.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…9a02backed Donstu Esports | 35c | 148.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Metizport | 62c | 144$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…a7d5backed Donstu Esports | 21c | 143.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadcd…29e9backed Metizport | 72c | 138.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Donstu Esports | 13c | 128$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Metizport | 78c | 125.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Metizport | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Metizport | 64c | 99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Donstu Esports | 13c | 96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…1ac4backed Donstu Esports | 13c | 96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Donstu Esports | 24c | 89.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Metizport | 73c | 70.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Donstu Esports | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Donstu Esports | 15c | 67.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Donstu Esports | 32c | 67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Donstu Esports | 16c | 67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Donstu Esports | 21c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Donstu Esports | 32c | 63.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Donstu Esports | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Metizport | 78c | 58.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Donstu Esports | 23c | 46.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Metizport | 79c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…711cbacked Metizport | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Metizport | 72c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed Metizport | 77c | 21.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 37 | 83.8%31 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa762…8183backed Metizport | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Metizport | 67c | 16.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 WinnerMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerMetizport won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)Metizport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.