CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x176e7db2ace7452f4f450382907a96e331da5e639b0be309c024b96eacb7facc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metizportof Metizport, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Metizport | 62c | 1,703$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.14 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Donstu Esports | 38c | 1,339$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.65 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Donstu Esports | 37c | 1,070$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.9 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Metizport | 63c | 850$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.5 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Donstu Esports | 37c | 659.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Metizport | 62c | 645.16$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Donstu Esports | 38c | 490.5$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.57 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Metizport | 63c | 399.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Donstu Esports | 68c | 361$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.24 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Metizport | 63c | 322.58$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Donstu Esports | 37c | 267.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Metizport | 63c | 241.27$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Metizport | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Metizport | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Metizport | 31c | 159$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1d…cecdbacked Donstu Esports | 38c | 143.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Donstu Esports | 43c | 103.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Donstu Esports | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Metizport | 28c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Donstu Esports | 42c | 43.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Donstu Esports | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Donstu Esports | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Donstu Esports | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…1c06backed Donstu Esports | 38c | 29.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Donstu Esports | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -7.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Metizport | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Metizport | 62c | 16.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group CMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 WinnerMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerMetizport won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.