CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfef5e1c240d91d0ed0cb4bcf355cf8167aa655858c5534aba73fb4fbab343231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LPH Gamingof LPH Gaming, SAW Youngsters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked SAW Youngsters | 2c | 6,176$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 583 | 45.3%264 W · 319 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SAW Youngsters | 15c | 1,835$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.31 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SAW Youngsters | 18c | 1,327$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.59 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked SAW Youngsters | 52c | 383.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed SAW Youngsters | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SAW Youngsters | 29c | 203.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed LPH Gaming | 47c | 156.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 532 | 44.9%239 W · 293 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed SAW Youngsters | 23c | 156$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked SAW Youngsters | 21c | 146.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 373 | 22.3%83 W · 290 L | -42.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SAW Youngsters | 18c | 125.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SAW Youngsters | 18c | 116.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed LPH Gaming | 48c | 115.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…b32cbacked SAW Youngsters | 27c | 112.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked LPH Gaming | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…a7d5backed LPH Gaming | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed LPH Gaming | 79c | 80.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SAW Youngsters | 18c | 65.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb849…bce6backed SAW Youngsters | 17c | 61.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 82 | 22%18 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked SAW Youngsters | 51c | 58.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed LPH Gaming | 49c | 52.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SAW Youngsters | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked LPH Gaming | 76c | 41.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa6…9c54backed LPH Gaming | 79c | 39.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed SAW Youngsters | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 48.9%132 W · 138 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed LPH Gaming | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked LPH Gaming | 78c | 37.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed SAW Youngsters | 49c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked LPH Gaming | 71c | 34.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 390 | 72.3%282 W · 108 L | +37.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked LPH Gaming | 76c | 33.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed LPH Gaming | 58c | 28.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LPH Gaming | 54c | 26.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed SAW Youngsters | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed SAW Youngsters | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 232 | 26.3%61 W · 171 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed SAW Youngsters | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed LPH Gaming | 75c | 18.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 113 | 75.2%85 W · 28 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsLPH Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 WinnerLPH Gaming won
- Map Handicap: SAW.Y (-1.5) vs LPH Gaming (+1.5)LPH Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.