Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2817cd89739ed6118567aacfa460afab205b6648cd7345fb7c2cb3d3881c0f48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof RE.Arise, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 7,563$5,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.43 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…2163backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 1,695$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed RE.Arise | 26c | 1,485$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.64 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RE.Arise | 30c | 1,101$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.08 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked RE.Arise | 30c | 809.52$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.73 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed RE.Arise | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked RE.Arise | 13c | 784.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 750$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked RE.Arise | 38c | 654.05$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.36 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 639.38$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RE.Arise | 29c | 586.08$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 572.96$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.88 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf902…a267backed RE.Arise | 15c | 551.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed RE.Arise | 50c | 539.54$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RE.Arise | 32c | 530.11$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.83 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 525$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed RE.Arise | 54c | 469.73$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…5280backed RE.Arise | 51c | 430.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 382.51$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed RE.Arise | 19c | 373.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed RE.Arise | 60c | 335.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…e5dfbacked RE.Arise | 54c | 314.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked RE.Arise | 34c | 310$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked RE.Arise | 52c | 300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.08 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed RE.Arise | 15c | 296.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked RE.Arise | 29c | 289.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 265.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked RE.Arise | 42c | 260.5$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed RE.Arise | 31c | 251.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed RE.Arise | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…0689backed RE.Arise | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked RE.Arise | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…f47bbacked Zero Tenacity | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed RE.Arise | 5c | 240.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed RE.Arise | 28c | 237.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed RE.Arise | 76c | 225.84$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.91 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked RE.Arise | 20c | 218.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed RE.Arise | 28c | 216.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RE.Arise | 24c | 211.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed RE.Arise | 28c | 208$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9845…9d6fbacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…bf8ebacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…0ac2backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…d485backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed RE.Arise | 28c | 197.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed RE.Arise | 24c | 195.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked RE.Arise | 28c | 191.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed RE.Arise | 34c | 190.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked RE.Arise | 38c | 187.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed RE.Arise | 55c | 181.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 176.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked RE.Arise | 28c | 175.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked RE.Arise | 44c | 168.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 168.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked RE.Arise | 35c | 166.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b4…b2d2backed RE.Arise | 20c | 166$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…a355backed RE.Arise | 39c | 158.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed RE.Arise | 33c | 151.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…6c1dbacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 147.92$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed RE.Arise | 28c | 145$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked RE.Arise | 55c | 144.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…9168backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 135.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed RE.Arise | 52c | 134.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked RE.Arise | 29c | 132.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed RE.Arise | 48c | 132.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 127.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Zero Tenacity | 52c | 127.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked RE.Arise | 51c | 126.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked RE.Arise | 79c | 125.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed RE.Arise | 55c | 125.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 124.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Zero Tenacity | 46c | 123.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed RE.Arise | 54c | 121.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Zero Tenacity | 48c | 119.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed RE.Arise | 37c | 118.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 117.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed RE.Arise | 13c | 114.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 112.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 110.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked RE.Arise | 28c | 108.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 108$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked RE.Arise | 24c | 105.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 97.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed RE.Arise | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked RE.Arise | 27c | 94.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.