Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24faae562b0e1040fa8ae0a1c2bdafc1292bd4a2be79047b051bb085e05eb89f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof RE.Arise, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 19,086$8,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,041.91 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked RE.Arise | 57c | 7,544$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,323.26 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 44c | 4,658$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.9 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed RE.Arise | 61c | 3,216$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a9c2backed RE.Arise | 77c | 3,195$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 2,889$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.54 | 479 | 53.9%258 W · 221 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 2,592$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.57 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked RE.Arise | 46c | 2,463$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.28 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 2,320$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.32 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed RE.Arise | 64c | 2,267$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.78 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked RE.Arise | 66c | 2,172$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.33 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked RE.Arise | 39c | 2,000$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.92 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RE.Arise | 59c | 1,765$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.28 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked RE.Arise | 56c | 1,733$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.53 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked RE.Arise | 47c | 1,500$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.97 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 1,434$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.12 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94a3backed Zero Tenacity | 48c | 1,366$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 1,107$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.52 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 974.28$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.63 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed RE.Arise | 45c | 920.35$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.49 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed RE.Arise | 46c | 869.36$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed RE.Arise | 46c | 785.31$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.81 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed RE.Arise | 57c | 756.1$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.76 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked RE.Arise | 73c | 753.48$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.04 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed RE.Arise | 34c | 747.89$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed RE.Arise | 55c | 746.64$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.95 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RE.Arise | 46c | 735.23$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.04 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked RE.Arise | 52c | 639$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.26 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked RE.Arise | 53c | 630.39$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked RE.Arise | 49c | 617.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 586.21$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.62 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…998bbacked RE.Arise | 54c | 556$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RE.Arise | 77c | 555.62$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.94 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zero Tenacity | 28c | 540.8$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.27 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 515.61$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed RE.Arise | 10c | 511$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Zero Tenacity | 48c | 499.99$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed RE.Arise | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed RE.Arise | 59c | 465.95$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.47 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Zero Tenacity | 16c | 454.34$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.04 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed RE.Arise | 50c | 448.78$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.32 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked RE.Arise | 47c | 448.22$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.78 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed RE.Arise | 20c | 408$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.35 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Zero Tenacity | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed RE.Arise | 59c | 386.79$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.29 | 409 | 33%135 W · 274 L | -36.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked RE.Arise | 55c | 364.59$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked RE.Arise | 52c | 350$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked RE.Arise | 55c | 348.48$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.63 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 336.37$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked RE.Arise | 52c | 325.59$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.53 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 314.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.66 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…9a95backed RE.Arise | 47c | 307$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 305.62$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked RE.Arise | 51c | 304.2$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed RE.Arise | 40c | 302$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 299.53$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.06 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed RE.Arise | 56c | 270$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked RE.Arise | 24c | 252.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 177 | 33.3%59 W · 118 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Zero Tenacity | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 239.46$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed RE.Arise | 46c | 234$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -18.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 224.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.47 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed RE.Arise | 52c | 222.01$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed RE.Arise | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…7eb9backed RE.Arise | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed RE.Arise | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…d485backed RE.Arise | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Zero Tenacity | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed RE.Arise | 47c | 197.83$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked RE.Arise | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed RE.Arise | 54c | 183$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 181.2$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 170.49$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 163.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 417 | 39.6%165 W · 252 L | -38.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed RE.Arise | 45c | 159.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Zero Tenacity | 31c | 155.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa108…abd3backed RE.Arise | 68c | 147.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed RE.Arise | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked RE.Arise | 73c | 136.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…5957backed Zero Tenacity | 77c | 130.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 123.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d58abacked RE.Arise | 59c | 121.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed RE.Arise | 39c | 114.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 204 | 21.1%43 W · 161 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed RE.Arise | 63c | 113.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked RE.Arise | 59c | 113.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed RE.Arise | 55c | 112.63$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 102.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 100.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked RE.Arise | 49c | 100.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked RE.Arise | 51c | 100.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed RE.Arise | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed RE.Arise | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked RE.Arise | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked RE.Arise | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked RE.Arise | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed RE.Arise | 57c | 97.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group BZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.