Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbc387170c0cda1f1417b0522dc3c3c12126ab6c767ed079e4b5453f2f1b6e35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof RE.Arise, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 26,000$12,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,779.93 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed RE.Arise | 51c | 14,200$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.77 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 11,108$5,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,556.12 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked RE.Arise | 43c | 9,000$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,827.07 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…fb57backed RE.Arise | 58c | 8,162$4,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,734.23 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked RE.Arise | 58c | 4,797$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.89 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed RE.Arise | 51c | 3,924$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RE.Arise | 48c | 2,864$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.17 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked RE.Arise | 56c | 2,724$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.68 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 2,385$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.53 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked RE.Arise | 51c | 2,250$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.3 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed RE.Arise | 50c | 2,104$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.53 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 1,949$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.64 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 1,904$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.82 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Zero Tenacity | 41c | 1,820$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.79 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked RE.Arise | 38c | 1,807$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.39 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 1,550$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.48 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Zero Tenacity | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.98 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed RE.Arise | 50c | 1,434$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.34 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed RE.Arise | 50c | 1,416$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.98 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 1,312$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.37 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f70…123dbacked RE.Arise | 26c | 1,139$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.85 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94a3backed RE.Arise | 57c | 1,001$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed RE.Arise | 53c | 979.95$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.38 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 942.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.71 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed RE.Arise | 54c | 928.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed RE.Arise | 49c | 924$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.76 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked RE.Arise | 44c | 904.45$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.78 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked RE.Arise | 52c | 849.01$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed RE.Arise | 49c | 814.44$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.07 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed RE.Arise | 49c | 810.14$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.97 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed RE.Arise | 46c | 802.46$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.61 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 784.51$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.51 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed RE.Arise | 47c | 762.46$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.3 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed RE.Arise | 49c | 750$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 705.54$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.05 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed RE.Arise | 22c | 640.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed RE.Arise | 49c | 618.04$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.84 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed RE.Arise | 25c | 617.88$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed RE.Arise | 13c | 614.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked RE.Arise | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RE.Arise | 30c | 595.7$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed RE.Arise | 53c | 593.25$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.59 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…998bbacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 582.56$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.89 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Zero Tenacity | 47c | 577.61$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.74 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed RE.Arise | 41c | 547.91$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.91 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 452.58$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 235 | 62.1%146 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked RE.Arise | 50c | 431.65$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.18 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 423.19$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.43 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked RE.Arise | 53c | 415.49$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.21 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RE.Arise | 34c | 415.46$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.59 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed RE.Arise | 17c | 403.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed RE.Arise | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked RE.Arise | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed RE.Arise | 59c | 367.88$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.64 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed RE.Arise | 58c | 366.38$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed RE.Arise | 44c | 366$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.71 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…c69ebacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 345.73$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.41 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -73%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RE.Arise | 24c | 341.83$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 331.08$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 320$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RE.Arise | 46c | 315.29$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 306.38$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.38 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed RE.Arise | 58c | 301.95$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.08 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 300$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 295.25$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.48 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 281.66$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.66 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed RE.Arise | 49c | 281.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.88 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed RE.Arise | 30c | 275$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked RE.Arise | 46c | 257.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed RE.Arise | 30c | 251$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…ddbfbacked Zero Tenacity | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed RE.Arise | 46c | 243.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed RE.Arise | 46c | 229.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed RE.Arise | 32c | 219.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked RE.Arise | 43c | 219.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed RE.Arise | 53c | 213.7$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4322backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 204.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.13 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked RE.Arise | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…c00ebacked RE.Arise | 51c | 196.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed RE.Arise | 46c | 195.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 177.32$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed RE.Arise | 43c | 169.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…eef7backed RE.Arise | 49c | 169$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked RE.Arise | 42c | 167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 160.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked RE.Arise | 55c | 160.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…ef1cbacked RE.Arise | 56c | 160.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 159.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 155.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed RE.Arise | 51c | 150.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 243 | 45.3%110 W · 133 L | +15.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 148.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked RE.Arise | 30c | 145.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked RE.Arise | 48c | 144.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 143.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…c19cbacked RE.Arise | 49c | 140.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group BZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.