TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zero Tenacityof RE.Arise, Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3413…8ff2backed Zero Tenacity47c26,000$12,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,779.9347646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed RE.Arise51c14,200$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.7748054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Zero Tenacity50c11,108$5,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,556.1289741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked RE.Arise43c9,000$3,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,827.071729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba38…fb57backed RE.Arise58c8,162$4,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,734.231471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked RE.Arise58c4,797$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.891,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed RE.Arise51c3,924$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024255%133 W · 109 L+14.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Zero Tenacity51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.9930452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RE.Arise48c2,864$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.172,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked RE.Arise56c2,724$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.6850850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Zero Tenacity57c2,385$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.5315050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked RE.Arise51c2,250$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.332756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed RE.Arise50c2,104$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.5348057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Zero Tenacity49c1,949$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.641,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed Zero Tenacity50c1,904$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.827350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Zero Tenacity41c1,820$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.7995342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked RE.Arise38c1,807$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.3979859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Zero Tenacity47c1,550$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.4828044.3%124 W · 156 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Zero Tenacity52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9886659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed RE.Arise50c1,434$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.3491553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86bf…a172backed RE.Arise50c1,416$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.984139%16 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed Zero Tenacity46c1,312$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.3714646.6%68 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f70…123dbacked RE.Arise26c1,139$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.851612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-73.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8006…94a3backed RE.Arise57c1,001$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a013backed RE.Arise53c979.95$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.386342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Zero Tenacity57c942.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.7147748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed RE.Arise54c928.7$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019251%98 W · 94 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…0308backed RE.Arise49c924$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.763641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked RE.Arise44c904.45$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.7892056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd19e…d70ebacked RE.Arise52c849.01$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44420859.6%124 W · 84 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e3b…be27backed RE.Arise49c814.44$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.0721047.6%100 W · 110 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed RE.Arise49c810.14$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.973132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed RE.Arise46c802.46$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.611,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Zero Tenacity51c784.51$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.5115050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed RE.Arise47c762.46$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.31,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed RE.Arise49c750$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.579959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Zero Tenacity67c705.54$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0561057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed RE.Arise22c640.11$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9132445.1%146 W · 178 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed RE.Arise49c618.04$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.848847.7%42 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed RE.Arise25c617.88$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.471457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5d9…b188backed RE.Arise13c614.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.749855.1%54 W · 44 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked RE.Arise54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32413142.7%56 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed RE.Arise30c595.7$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.869132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed RE.Arise53c593.25$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.5912559.2%74 W · 51 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf9f…998bbacked Zero Tenacity42c582.56$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.892128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Zero Tenacity47c577.61$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.7488166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc62e…2d85backed RE.Arise41c547.91$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.914936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Zero Tenacity53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23537745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ace…3038backed Zero Tenacity74c452.58$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9823562.1%146 W · 89 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked RE.Arise50c431.65$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1835960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Zero Tenacity58c423.19$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4379341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked RE.Arise53c415.49$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2117965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked RE.Arise34c415.46$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5989238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed RE.Arise17c403.68$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3741632.7%136 W · 280 L-37.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed RE.Arise25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009122%20 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked RE.Arise20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011444.7%51 W · 63 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82f3…5cd4backed RE.Arise59c367.88$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.642166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed RE.Arise58c366.38$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.531248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed RE.Arise44c366$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7158943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39a9…c69ebacked Zero Tenacity51c345.73$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.411711.8%2 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-73%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked RE.Arise24c341.83$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8389938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf201…f884backed Zero Tenacity60c331.08$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.798960.7%54 W · 35 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Zero Tenacity54c320$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.211239.3%44 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked RE.Arise46c315.29$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.521,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Zero Tenacity47c306.38$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.388042.5%34 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc4b…ecc5backed RE.Arise58c301.95$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.081936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked Zero Tenacity74c300$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7554659.7%326 W · 220 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Zero Tenacity47c295.25$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4858356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Zero Tenacity54c281.66$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.665242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed RE.Arise49c281.38$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8841037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9417…8440backed RE.Arise30c275$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.779455.3%52 W · 42 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked RE.Arise46c257.75$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1325851.2%132 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed RE.Arise30c251$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.315639.1%61 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9214…ddbfbacked Zero Tenacity69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed RE.Arise46c243.7$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.75932.2%19 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed RE.Arise46c229.28$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.478420.2%17 W · 67 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x242c…ddd2backed RE.Arise32c219.74$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2521447.2%101 W · 113 L+16.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked RE.Arise43c219.37$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.211752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa091…f1c1backed RE.Arise53c213.7$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.262653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a00…4322backed Zero Tenacity53c204.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.132867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked RE.Arise55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39e2…c00ebacked RE.Arise51c196.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3fe…3f90backed RE.Arise46c195.92$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904450%22 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x924d…6cb9backed Zero Tenacity58c177.32$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.077146.5%33 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed RE.Arise43c169.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.791,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7eb…eef7backed RE.Arise49c169$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.813943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked RE.Arise42c167$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5158746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked RE.Arise45c160.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4344049.3%217 W · 223 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4339…beeebacked RE.Arise55c160.72$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.18055%44 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2262…ef1cbacked RE.Arise56c160.65$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.563540%14 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bed…5cd6backed Zero Tenacity59c159.78$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.215950.8%30 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Zero Tenacity42c155.12$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9752046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed RE.Arise51c150.54$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.284351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Zero Tenacity49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.524345.3%110 W · 133 L+15.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked RE.Arise45c148.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1456945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked RE.Arise30c145.88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3268345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked RE.Arise48c144.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7091356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd12d…f0dbbacked Zero Tenacity70c143.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0714956.4%84 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eca…c19cbacked RE.Arise49c140.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Zero Tenacity53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.826154.8%143 W · 118 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.