CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: JUMBO TEAM vs OLDBOYS- (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x021d0c62d47cfbf4fe52c034d1717ebdb1f01620325da2d8006361cecd48c806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JUMBO TEAMof JUMBO TEAM, OLDBOYS-
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed JUMBO TEAM | 36c | 749.3$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.34 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…0689backed JUMBO TEAM | 77c | 473.78$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.95 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed OLDBOYS- | 60c | 290$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.09 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked OLDBOYS- | 64c | 252.88$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.84 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked OLDBOYS- | 28c | 231.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed OLDBOYS- | 52c | 175$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked OLDBOYS- | 36c | 135.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed JUMBO TEAM | 79c | 120.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 32 | 90.6%29 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 76cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked JUMBO TEAM | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked OLDBOYS- | 64c | 109.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…6587backed OLDBOYS- | 66c | 85.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked OLDBOYS- | 37c | 82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked OLDBOYS- | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96fe…e78cbacked JUMBO TEAM | 37c | 34.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed JUMBO TEAM | 36c | 33.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked JUMBO TEAM | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked OLDBOYS- | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed OLDBOYS- | 66c | 24.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed OLDBOYS- | 64c | 24.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked OLDBOYS- | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…5dc1backed OLDBOYS- | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.