CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e34f9d8627e76171dde15d4f76fde296e02526319e67c1886b42c5f137793f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crashersof Crashers, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7857…bab6backed Keyd | 41c | 2,141$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.52 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Crashers | 70c | 657.85$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Crashers | 68c | 606.09$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.69 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Crashers | 57c | 400.22$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Keyd | 57c | 186.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Crashers | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Keyd | 22c | 133$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Keyd | 22c | 133$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Keyd | 21c | 128.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Keyd | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Crashers | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Crashers | 61c | 58.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Keyd | 29c | 50.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Keyd | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2254…bfe0backed Keyd | 44c | 49.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Keyd | 29c | 35.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Crashers | 43c | 35.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked Crashers | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Crashers | 65c | 27.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Crashers | 60c | 24.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 PlayoffsCrashers won
- Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.