Euroleague · resolved market
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Jiangsu Dragons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe4b8dc57f831d9e5b67b7e7cb20b14fc0052f7000eaf99495129a7cdef73a21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shenzhen Leopardsof Shenzhen Leopards, Jiangsu Dragons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 1c | 2,196$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…0099backed Jiangsu Dragons | 18c | 2,166$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Jiangsu Dragons | 5c | 1,386$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Jiangsu Dragons | 6c | 772.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e74…f274backed Jiangsu Dragons | 5c | 607.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…aa94backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.