Lol · resolved market
LoL: mCon esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e1b2bfb2b6fdc20664a035adc5f3df725ac57a5cd0f0829929d8065c294fb35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dynastyof mCon esports, Dynasty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed mCon esports | 47c | 997.87$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked mCon esports | 22c | 770$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.1 | 177 | 39.5%70 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked mCon esports | 22c | 770$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.1 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed mCon esports | 10c | 612.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked mCon esports | 72c | 523.31$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.29 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed mCon esports | 65c | 503.89$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.38 | 111 | 11.7%13 W · 98 L | -17.1wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked mCon esports | 13c | 500$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed mCon esports | 6c | 491.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 173 | 25.4%44 W · 129 L | -19.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed mCon esports | 25c | 452$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Dynasty | 31c | 356.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.8 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed mCon esports | 21c | 346$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed mCon esports | 59c | 338.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 131 | 26%34 W · 97 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed mCon esports | 25c | 312$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac7b…7cebbacked Dynasty | 16c | 305.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.84 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed mCon esports | 66c | 303.88$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.64 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed mCon esports | 23c | 300$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed mCon esports | 23c | 300$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…d162backed Dynasty | 47c | 298.82$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.76 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Dynasty | 36c | 291.22$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.79 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Dynasty | 35c | 288.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.01 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed mCon esports | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked mCon esports | 22c | 237$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 253 | 31.2%79 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed mCon esports | 10c | 229.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed mCon esports | 32c | 200.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed mCon esports | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed mCon esports | 21c | 173$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed mCon esports | 21c | 173$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed mCon esports | 21c | 173$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed mCon esports | 11c | 167.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf28…db5dbacked Dynasty | 48c | 153.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed mCon esports | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked mCon esports | 41c | 145.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed mCon esports | 70c | 138.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b3…de25backed Dynasty | 54c | 136.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked mCon esports | 52c | 124.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…b1aebacked mCon esports | 21c | 119$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed mCon esports | 16c | 117.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Dynasty | 28c | 114.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed mCon esports | 40c | 100.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed mCon esports | 30c | 98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 150 | 17.3%26 W · 124 L | -26.8wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked mCon esports | 70c | 91.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed mCon esports | 68c | 90.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed mCon esports | 69c | 85.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 186 | 65.6%122 W · 64 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…8c96backed Dynasty | 51c | 83.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked mCon esports | 42c | 73.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed mCon esports | 47c | 72.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Dynasty | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed mCon esports | 60c | 60.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Dynasty | 37c | 48.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Dynasty | 53c | 48.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Dynasty | 53c | 48.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Dynasty | 47c | 39.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8651…f003backed Dynasty | 38c | 29.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed Dynasty | 61c | 29.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 217 | 63.6%138 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed mCon esports | 65c | 28.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…e3f0backed mCon esports | 67c | 26.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 153 | 60.1%92 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe316…beb5backed mCon esports | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed Dynasty | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 440 | 62.7%276 W · 164 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed mCon esports | 55c | 19.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.