TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Basement Bobsof Basement Bobs, Rune Eaters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4c0…92d8backed Basement Bobs43c6,450$2,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,654.092552%13 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Basement Bobs45c2,046$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.8417357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Basement Bobs58c1,551$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.6178043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Rune Eaters42c1,418$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.1114137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb19f…1c86backed Rune Eaters1c1,411$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.118033.8%27 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Rune Eaters56c1,377$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.1239248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Basement Bobs62c1,312$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.0666446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Rune Eaters1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Rune Eaters1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Basement Bobs59c1,194$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.087,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b83…f841backed Rune Eaters60c1,096$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.251323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rune Eaters36c1,073$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.372,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa20…fd0dbacked Rune Eaters55c1,052$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.781136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick65cpaid-49.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e8d…81c4backed Basement Bobs47c1,022$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Rune Eaters1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…c45cbacked Basement Bobs53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4702100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+125.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Rune Eaters1c900$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd1…b201backed Basement Bobs57c900$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3871850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Basement Bobs50c861.91$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.8657641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Basement Bobs44c826.3$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.855,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Rune Eaters56c782.58$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.1533044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Basement Bobs37c761.38$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.2816235.8%58 W · 104 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Rune Eaters54c726.38$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.882,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb59…fb90backed Basement Bobs34c694$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.045048%24 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Rune Eaters64c685.85$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.633,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Rune Eaters58c662.54$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.42,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Rune Eaters63c562.4$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.7549646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Rune Eaters53c560.22$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.8517849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Rune Eaters10c545$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9364439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Basement Bobs48c503.85$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.8863038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Rune Eaters53c500.28$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.497948.1%38 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe15e…d4f8backed Basement Bobs37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3707…699abacked Rune Eaters52c493.22$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Rune Eaters56c447.51$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.6118341%75 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Rune Eaters49c414.14$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.861,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Rune Eaters73c405.64$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.17744.2%34 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked Rune Eaters57c355.5$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.631968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Basement Bobs57c352.68$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9346843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Rune Eaters27c292.78$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.271,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc298…9369backed Rune Eaters53c291.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Rune Eaters59c291.22$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.2139946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Basement Bobs32c260.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3348319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Basement Bobs47c257.81$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4938942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Basement Bobs69c253.88$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.125,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Rune Eaters40c247.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9252951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Rune Eaters5c240$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.241436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Rune Eaters51c222.8$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5644743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe2…0d54backed Rune Eaters62c221.46$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.796758.2%39 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Rune Eaters71c209.73$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.233056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Rune Eaters64c209.22$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.062,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c4…26f2backed Basement Bobs42c206.21$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.64736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Basement Bobs48c204.55$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.525042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rune Eaters53c195.34$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.911,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4193…7a48backed Rune Eaters27c185.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Rune Eaters6c182$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.147321.9%16 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Rune Eaters60c172.9$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7419850.5%100 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e70…caccbacked Basement Bobs57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.493545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Basement Bobs39c169.94$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Rune Eaters58c154.29$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4954348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Rune Eaters13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.53622.2%8 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Basement Bobs49c147.65$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6626037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Rune Eaters56c142.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8421653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7244…b819backed Basement Bobs45c128.93$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9114853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked Basement Bobs44c110.15$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8327754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x231d…4bdfbacked Basement Bobs54c108.08$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.743638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Basement Bobs40c104.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.352,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Basement Bobs40c100.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.019758.8%57 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Basement Bobs42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5840247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dba…368dbacked Basement Bobs61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Basement Bobs39c99.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6191648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Basement Bobs61c99.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Basement Bobs43c98.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.281,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Rune Eaters53c98.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.421,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Basement Bobs54c90.64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0315358.2%89 W · 64 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d68…21c2backed Rune Eaters56c90.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.633345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Rune Eaters44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.572,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Rune Eaters44c89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.922,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Rune Eaters56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6814441%59 W · 85 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Rune Eaters56c86.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6316946.7%79 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Rune Eaters20c86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2721739.2%85 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Rune Eaters58c84.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.744339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Rune Eaters59c78.74$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2732845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed Rune Eaters37c78.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.872729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-47.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Basement Bobs47c77.83$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5840652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Rune Eaters39c77.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3155950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Basement Bobs77c68.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb7…dd4bbacked Basement Bobs75c67.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Rune Eaters45c66.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0447260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Basement Bobs33c66.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.331,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed Rune Eaters43c66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1617444.3%77 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53fe…0485backed Rune Eaters50c60.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.321637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Basement Bobs40c58.11$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.014,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c94…5b86backed Basement Bobs40c54.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.636735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Basement Bobs46c54.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.191,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7fe…24e5backed Basement Bobs44c49.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.848326.5%22 W · 61 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed Basement Bobs50c49.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7715846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4100…3576backed Rune Eaters50c49.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Rune Eaters65c48.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6237841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Basement Bobs42c46.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.941,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Basement Bobs41c44.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9110426%27 W · 77 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.