CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x768a8b2dae9f50cb8fb52902524c608fa5ddd6b2dc0a4f36122bcf54ca2dde97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Basement Bobs, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 1,308$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.41 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…92d8backed Basement Bobs | 43c | 889.39$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.9 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Basement Bobs | 36c | 715.25$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.91 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Basement Bobs | 18c | 579.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Basement Bobs | 7c | 575.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Rune Eaters | 76c | 562.7$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.69 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Basement Bobs | 21c | 534.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Basement Bobs | 17c | 256.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rune Eaters | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 142.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Basement Bobs | 20c | 131.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Basement Bobs | 22c | 114.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Basement Bobs | 32c | 104.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 100.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Basement Bobs | 21c | 85.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Basement Bobs | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Rune Eaters | 75c | 76.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…22d5backed Basement Bobs | 22c | 75.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5758…e2d8backed Basement Bobs | 41c | 72.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Basement Bobs | 34c | 66.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Rune Eaters | 76c | 59.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Rune Eaters | 69c | 54.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Rune Eaters | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…843cbacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 16.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group BBasement Bobs won
- Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 WinnerBasement Bobs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.