TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fake do Biruof Keyd, Fake do Biru
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2529…548abacked Keyd39c2,810$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.893,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Keyd49c2,232$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.384,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Keyd42c2,188$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.0820554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Keyd60c1,987$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.71,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd42c1,677$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.336,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Keyd39c1,556$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.2729235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Fake do Biru50c1,157$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.4929858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Keyd36c762.35$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.421,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Keyd27c716.76$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.227041.1%111 W · 159 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1f…a252backed Keyd44c665.62$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8615033.3%50 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd64d…bcfebacked Fake do Biru61c639.18$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.283560%21 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Fake do Biru61c610.63$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.9510949.5%54 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Fake do Biru37c604.64$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.8957358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fake do Biru59c590.2$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.667,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x056b…e7a4backed Fake do Biru37c534.46$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.471963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+30.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd153…f849backed Keyd24c425.62$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.191612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Fake do Biru44c411.73$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.2613238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Fake do Biru45c365.16$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.156142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Fake do Biru29c354.65$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.715648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1210…3b54backed Keyd33c337.4$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.751030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Fake do Biru58c336.14$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1833060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Fake do Biru61c320.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8824942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Fake do Biru43c299.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.994,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Keyd32c293.33$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9423072.6%167 W · 63 L+27.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Keyd51c286.41$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.765863.8%37 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed Fake do Biru60c275.05$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5511442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94e8…a6e1backed Keyd39c260.88$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Fake do Biru41c249$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8920358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Keyd48c244.85$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.112,60352.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8946…60c1backed Keyd46c225$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5fd…c9f6backed Keyd41c224.75$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Fake do Biru76c222$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca0b…3c12backed Keyd40c221.36$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.547459.5%44 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…746ebacked Keyd46c217$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…23d9backed Keyd45c216$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46a0…42c9backed Keyd47c205$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc0…9c62backed Keyd47c202.35$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Fake do Biru36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12833241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa20…fd0dbacked Fake do Biru80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick65cpaid-49.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84c9…ba87backed Fake do Biru53c196$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Keyd39c194.2$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.471,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6e0…609fbacked Keyd47c193.64$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ddc…6796backed Fake do Biru46c192.36$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.46837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de6…50c4backed Fake do Biru54c190.59$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b89…783bbacked Fake do Biru54c189.62$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c83…8c5fbacked Keyd17c187.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.992227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd32c185.66$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.135,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x593c…5418backed Fake do Biru61c185$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb39…c305backed Fake do Biru53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9386…f261backed Fake do Biru65c181.94$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9342…c82fbacked Fake do Biru55c179.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4380…1e39backed Fake do Biru53c176.87$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Keyd25c175.84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.762,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed Fake do Biru46c169.75$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6716349.1%80 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed Fake do Biru63c163.55$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5117759.9%106 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Fake do Biru61c156.9$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1932352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20c5…7452backed Fake do Biru51c154.63$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.772673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Fake do Biru47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.529347.8%140 W · 153 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Fake do Biru59c146.34$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6018341%75 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x494c…8923backed Fake do Biru39c145.75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.912351.2%63 W · 60 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…2dabbacked Fake do Biru74c145.74$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.77862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Fake do Biru35c144$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9618545.4%84 W · 101 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Fake do Biru65c143.8$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3314447.9%69 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7244…b819backed Keyd41c141.16$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8814853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Keyd48c139.27$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8547447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Fake do Biru66c127.35$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.336151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Keyd48c121.46$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.378952%410 W · 379 L+26.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed Fake do Biru38c101.35$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8431738.8%123 W · 194 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Fake do Biru71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5c…9edabacked Fake do Biru74c99.27$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.186071.7%43 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Fake do Biru44c95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6145240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Keyd32c90.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.152,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5c5d…90b3backed Fake do Biru60c89.47$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.795141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed Fake do Biru36c88.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4732748.6%159 W · 168 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2af6…7cb7backed Fake do Biru65c85.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.827258.3%42 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Fake do Biru38c80.44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8715648.1%75 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a6f…b302backed Fake do Biru61c80.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Fake do Biru59c74.63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3524457%139 W · 105 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08db…296fbacked Fake do Biru78c74.18$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.621968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6a…189bbacked Fake do Biru71c73.85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.426460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b0e…528dbacked Fake do Biru58c73.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.931827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Fake do Biru35c72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4836845.9%169 W · 199 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Fake do Biru35c72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4841436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Fake do Biru35c72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4857935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed Keyd20c71.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2815646.8%73 W · 83 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Fake do Biru62c68.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.851,03857.4%596 W · 442 L+18.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc7…9194backed Keyd39c68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.529251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Fake do Biru61c64.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0484454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Keyd55c62.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.382,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Keyd38c61.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4233044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Fake do Biru45c61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7921739.2%85 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af2…8bd8backed Fake do Biru58c58.49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.562343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaad9…caefbacked Keyd42c55.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.161540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc75…5431backed Keyd42c55.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.162740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b11…58c9backed Keyd42c55.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.162540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Keyd31c54.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7540652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Fake do Biru49c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.647321.9%16 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0da…f1d8backed Fake do Biru51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.33540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Keyd48c48.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2573548.4%356 W · 379 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac5…cab7backed Keyd40c48.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.