Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ce8cab58cdcbe88851e0dc47d9eaf44f4104bfd7f25dd38b9aafca789fd8c37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bb8…aa5fbacked VP.Prodigy | 0c | 6,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…51debacked VP.Prodigy | 3c | 3,931$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.61 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed VP.Prodigy | 52c | 3,501$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.18 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed GamerLegion | 79c | 1,509$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.57 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed VP.Prodigy | 19c | 1,347$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.95 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…ea40backed VP.Prodigy | 2c | 1,110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked VP.Prodigy | 11c | 952.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked VP.Prodigy | 3c | 851.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed VP.Prodigy | 5c | 819.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…81afbacked VP.Prodigy | 1c | 774.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked GamerLegion | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked GamerLegion | 73c | 635.57$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.98 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed GamerLegion | 74c | 555$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed VP.Prodigy | 27c | 525.03$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.46 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276c…4cc1backed VP.Prodigy | 6c | 503.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked GamerLegion | 79c | 417.06$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked GamerLegion | 20c | 417$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed GamerLegion | 51c | 413$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.43 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed GamerLegion | 40c | 400$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion | 76c | 340.56$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed GamerLegion | 37c | 304$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.56 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed GamerLegion | 75c | 298.5$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked VP.Prodigy | 31c | 249.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked VP.Prodigy | 24c | 219.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed GamerLegion | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked VP.Prodigy | 23c | 190.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…9482backed VP.Prodigy | 12c | 156.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed GamerLegion | 78c | 154.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed GamerLegion | 37c | 152$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed GamerLegion | 37c | 152$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed GamerLegion | 37c | 152$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed GamerLegion | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 124.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed GamerLegion | 77c | 102.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…f47bbacked VP.Prodigy | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked VP.Prodigy | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed GamerLegion | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed VP.Prodigy | 14c | 84.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked GamerLegion | 68c | 60.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd580…a0d5backed GamerLegion | 75c | 53.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked GamerLegion | 75c | 30.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed GamerLegion | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed GamerLegion | 73c | 19.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group AGamerLegion won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
- Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?Yes won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 76.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 77.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.