CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs NSN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd41a8eab1c6bb2586c7137b58061a5c4888d4d8fd952d336bfd2bc37d510c5e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chinggis Warriorsof Chinggis Warriors, NSN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa04e…3550backed NSN | 39c | 5,395$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.07 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Chinggis Warriors | 58c | 4,443$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…ebfdbacked NSN | 28c | 4,238$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.73 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…c2bcbacked NSN | 49c | 2,286$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Chinggis Warriors | 55c | 2,085$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.19 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked NSN | 49c | 1,508$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.86 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Chinggis Warriors | 51c | 1,107$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.56 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed NSN | 49c | 646.05$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.56 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…4dafbacked Chinggis Warriors | 71c | 549.8$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked Chinggis Warriors | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Chinggis Warriors | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…c735backed Chinggis Warriors | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed NSN | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked Chinggis Warriors | 79c | 108.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Chinggis Warriors | 64c | 107.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Chinggis Warriors | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Chinggis Warriors | 61c | 92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Chinggis Warriors | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Chinggis Warriors | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…faccbacked NSN | 30c | 50.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Chinggis Warriors | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Chinggis Warriors | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Chinggis Warriors | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Chinggis Warriors | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Chinggis Warriors | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766a…ae64backed Chinggis Warriors | 51c | 43.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chinggis Warriors | 61c | 36.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Chinggis Warriors | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Chinggis Warriors | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…a2b8backed NSN | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked Chinggis Warriors | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb538…7a1ebacked Chinggis Warriors | 68c | 14.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.