Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe937b95cfeb46df0a43af413e4d4ed092b8dfa456be70248425463aa38ef6a25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FunPlus Phoenixof FunPlus Phoenix, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe96f…ff4bbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 60c | 2,446$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 1,068$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.6 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 637.31$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.81 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…d97bbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 39c | 515.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 43c | 488.29$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.81 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 454.38$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 41c | 440.34$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.8 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 338.95$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.7 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 303.68$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.24 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +11.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed FunPlus Phoenix | 36c | 280$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed FunPlus Phoenix | 38c | 249.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Bilibili Gaming | 29c | 178.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 119.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3c…0518backed FunPlus Phoenix | 35c | 116.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 41c | 115.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 98.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 43c | 95.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…3741backed Bilibili Gaming | 19c | 94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a14…49d5backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 74.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…da18backed FunPlus Phoenix | 43c | 68.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed FunPlus Phoenix | 65c | 67.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 42c | 63.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed FunPlus Phoenix | 78c | 57.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 31.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed FunPlus Phoenix | 35c | 29.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed FunPlus Phoenix | 41c | 29.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 29.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 27.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…5080backed FunPlus Phoenix | 72c | 24.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 23.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group AlphaBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.