Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: RDL (-1.5) vs WEC C (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb6fcc9eab56a2cd3e64ca98946a2b960fa655ab9e10106ac8f4f0b51d2d568b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Riddleof Riddle, WEC C
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7531backed WEC C | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Riddle | 56c | 388.3$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.74 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed Riddle | 57c | 294.9$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.44 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Riddle | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Riddle | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Riddle | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Riddle | 41c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Riddle | 40c | 62.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Riddle | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Riddle | 42c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Riddle | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Riddle | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed WEC C | 47c | 22.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: RDL (-1.5) vs WEC C (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: WEC C vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2Riddle won
- Valorant: WEC C vs Riddle - Map 1 WinnerRiddle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.