Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: WEC C vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ac82baa0cc65b323a32ea5cdc9bc549bd9efd940be5846854ebe753d8df88d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Riddleof WEC C, Riddle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed WEC C | 14c | 5,682$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.77 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…cab7backed WEC C | 26c | 1,169$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.55 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed WEC C | 14c | 487.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Riddle | 67c | 462.89$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.9 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked WEC C | 13c | 402.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WEC C | 16c | 249.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed WEC C | 14c | 244.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…b971backed WEC C | 14c | 223.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed WEC C | 15c | 196.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…27e6backed WEC C | 12c | 190.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed WEC C | 12c | 184.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked WEC C | 14c | 123.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…1e76backed WEC C | 17c | 122.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed WEC C | 16c | 97.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed WEC C | 15c | 97.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed WEC C | 14c | 86.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WEC C | 15c | 86.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…1183backed WEC C | 12c | 86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37db…dff4backed Riddle | 79c | 82.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed WEC C | 13c | 77.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed WEC C | 14c | 75.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Riddle | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…9c08backed WEC C | 37c | 41.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Riddle | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Riddle | 68c | 16.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: WEC C vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2this page
- Map Handicap: RDL (-1.5) vs WEC C (+1.5)Riddle won
- Valorant: WEC C vs Riddle - Map 1 WinnerRiddle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.