CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbef006b1007e20ef3a518fbfa14137a8340e27875992c3ba7ab2e4e22db10e0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HEROIC Academyof Hashiras, HEROIC Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Hashiras | 1c | 2,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Hashiras | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Hashiras | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HEROIC Academy | 73c | 723.45$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.62 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…2de7backed HEROIC Academy | 50c | 543.2$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe163…9d33backed Hashiras | 49c | 542.86$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Hashiras | 19c | 511.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Hashiras | 5c | 477.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Hashiras | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed HEROIC Academy | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked HEROIC Academy | 58c | 370.87$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.77 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hashiras | 35c | 347.22$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.93 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Hashiras | 59c | 346.22$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.27 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HEROIC Academy | 70c | 340.03$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Hashiras | 14c | 254.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Hashiras | 32c | 246.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Hashiras | 17c | 210.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HEROIC Academy | 70c | 198.23$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Hashiras | 21c | 177.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked HEROIC Academy | 72c | 177.71$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HEROIC Academy | 62c | 166.35$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hashiras | 44c | 131.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hashiras | 19c | 120.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Hashiras | 21c | 104.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HEROIC Academy | 73c | 80.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Hashiras | 21c | 76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Hashiras | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed HEROIC Academy | 72c | 67.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hashiras | 35c | 63.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed HEROIC Academy | 73c | 60.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HEROIC Academy | 78c | 59.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Hashiras | 45c | 42.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HEROIC Academy | 65c | 41.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Hashiras | 35c | 31.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hashiras | 41c | 31.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed HEROIC Academy | 61c | 26.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked HEROIC Academy | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed HEROIC Academy | 71c | 18.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group DHashiras won
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 WinnerHashiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.