Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REIGNITE FOXX vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b9b8d5c8e323693629d2b90f150db88266944c4fb49929cfba7467980b484db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Insomniaof REIGNITE FOXX, Insomnia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed REIGNITE FOXX | 61c | 2,584$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Insomnia | 59c | 1,591$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.43 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Insomnia | 43c | 722.16$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.34 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Insomnia | 40c | 492.93$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.81 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Insomnia | 28c | 459.02$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.5 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…d7c2backed REIGNITE FOXX | 57c | 440.19$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…72f3backed Insomnia | 43c | 433.47$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Insomnia | 31c | 399.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Insomnia | 45c | 374.68$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.08 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed REIGNITE FOXX | 7c | 360$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Insomnia | 32c | 344.44$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.87 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed REIGNITE FOXX | 67c | 332.04$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked REIGNITE FOXX | 38c | 300$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Insomnia | 53c | 294.74$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed REIGNITE FOXX | 37c | 285.78$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 70c | 281.01$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed REIGNITE FOXX | 37c | 270.7$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 36c | 246.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Insomnia | 32c | 237.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Insomnia | 38c | 212$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.84 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Insomnia | 29c | 201.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.98 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Insomnia | 47c | 145.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed REIGNITE FOXX | 35c | 144$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked REIGNITE FOXX | 42c | 141$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Insomnia | 46c | 129.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REIGNITE FOXX | 63c | 113.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed REIGNITE FOXX | 59c | 103.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed REIGNITE FOXX | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked REIGNITE FOXX | 68c | 99.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Insomnia | 33c | 97.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Insomnia | 48c | 97.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed REIGNITE FOXX | 47c | 89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Insomnia | 36c | 73.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed REIGNITE FOXX | 35c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed REIGNITE FOXX | 35c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed REIGNITE FOXX | 67c | 69.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Insomnia | 50c | 66.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed REIGNITE FOXX | 58c | 53.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…8793backed REIGNITE FOXX | 55c | 48.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed REIGNITE FOXX | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed REIGNITE FOXX | 67c | 47.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked REIGNITE FOXX | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Insomnia | 36c | 43.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…cab7backed REIGNITE FOXX | 69c | 40.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed REIGNITE FOXX | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed REIGNITE FOXX | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed REIGNITE FOXX | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Insomnia | 44c | 38.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Insomnia | 32c | 37.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Insomnia | 40c | 37.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 41cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Insomnia | 41c | 34.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Insomnia | 32c | 32.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed REIGNITE FOXX | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Insomnia | 47c | 26.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.