Lol · resolved market
LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe23195947a697bde0dfa35babf1452c8c4e9d5820ff3fbc09d7a9b2121573f66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Winthrop Universityof Winthrop University, Maryville University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d38…e758backed Maryville University | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Maryville University | 74c | 10,467$7,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,721.63 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Winthrop University | 25c | 6,311$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,733.12 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…43d6backed Maryville University | 11c | 1,966$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.29 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…51f3backed Maryville University | 65c | 1,860$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Winthrop University | 26c | 1,616$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.07 | 174 | 39.7%69 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Winthrop University | 30c | 1,359$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.3 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked Winthrop University | 38c | 1,300$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.32 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Maryville University | 71c | 706$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.08 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Winthrop University | 38c | 600$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.16 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Winthrop University | 29c | 600$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Winthrop University | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Maryville University | 65c | 599.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Maryville University | 71c | 561.84$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed Maryville University | 73c | 555.18$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.28 | 379 | 57.5%218 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Winthrop University | 29c | 550$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.5 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Winthrop University | 40c | 520.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.97 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Winthrop University | 28c | 497.59$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.92 | 376 | 33.5%126 W · 250 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Maryville University | 70c | 439.52$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.31 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Winthrop University | 25c | 418.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.64 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Maryville University | 75c | 418.19$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.64 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Maryville University | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Maryville University | 72c | 385.84$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.88 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Winthrop University | 29c | 341.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.67 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Winthrop University | 30c | 317.17$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.02 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Maryville University | 50c | 304.5$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.29 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Winthrop University | 28c | 278.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.57 | 272 | 44.1%120 W · 152 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Winthrop University | 35c | 275.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Maryville University | 73c | 275.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Winthrop University | 29c | 228.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a2…e9b7backed Maryville University | 62c | 208.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Winthrop University | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…0bd2backed Maryville University | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…a7a8backed Winthrop University | 29c | 185.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Maryville University | 59c | 168.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Maryville University | 61c | 162.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Maryville University | 49c | 147.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Maryville University | 52c | 141.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed Maryville University | 75c | 133.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Winthrop University | 41c | 132.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 299 | 42.8%128 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Winthrop University | 35c | 121.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Maryville University | 77c | 108$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Winthrop University | 52c | 93.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Maryville University | 34c | 85.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Winthrop University | 25c | 84.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Winthrop University | 35c | 77.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Winthrop University | 32c | 75.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Winthrop University | 37c | 73.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Maryville University | 50c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Winthrop University | 52c | 72.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Winthrop University | 30c | 71.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…d265backed Maryville University | 75c | 67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 64.9%61 W · 33 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Maryville University | 22c | 63.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Maryville University | 73c | 62.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Maryville University | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Winthrop University | 33c | 59.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…241cbacked Winthrop University | 30c | 53.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked Winthrop University | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 692 | 47%325 W · 367 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Winthrop University | 42c | 46.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Winthrop University | 47c | 42.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 399 | 60.4%241 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Maryville University | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Maryville University | 72c | 40.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Maryville University | 73c | 36.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x278d…d3ecbacked Maryville University | 79c | 36.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 133 | 72.2%96 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked Maryville University | 49c | 30.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…deedbacked Maryville University | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 402 | 45.8%184 W · 218 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Maryville University | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ef…8444backed Maryville University | 73c | 28.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe79…296fbacked Winthrop University | 46c | 28.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3073…3413backed Maryville University | 74c | 26.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 189 | 60.3%114 W · 75 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Maryville University | 73c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Maryville University | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)Winthrop University won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League PlayoffsWinthrop University won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 1 WinnerWinthrop University won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 2 WinnerMaryville University won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 3 WinnerMaryville University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.