TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Winthrop Universityof Winthrop University, Maryville University
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d38…e758backed Maryville University0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Maryville University74c10,467$7,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,721.6391854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Winthrop University25c6,311$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,733.1290348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b6…43d6backed Maryville University11c1,966$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.291957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed Maryville University65c1,860$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20015357.5%88 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed Winthrop University26c1,616$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.0717439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Winthrop University30c1,359$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.347838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked Winthrop University38c1,300$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.3212642.1%53 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Maryville University71c706$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.081,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Winthrop University38c600$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.1660053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Winthrop University29c600$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4261,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Winthrop University36c599.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.9937039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Maryville University65c599.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9946258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Maryville University71c561.84$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3737…bfd1backed Maryville University73c555.18$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.2837957.5%218 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Winthrop University29c550$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.543539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Winthrop University40c520.37$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9760538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Winthrop University28c497.59$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.9237633.5%126 W · 250 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed Maryville University70c439.52$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.315448.1%26 W · 28 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-26.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Winthrop University25c418.19$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.6443442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Maryville University75c418.19$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.646245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed Maryville University71c400$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28432160.7%195 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Maryville University72c385.84$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.886363.5%40 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Winthrop University29c341.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.6725256.3%142 W · 110 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Winthrop University30c317.17$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.0235545.4%161 W · 194 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Maryville University50c304.5$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.291,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Winthrop University28c278.57$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5727244.1%120 W · 152 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Winthrop University35c275.76$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.62,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Maryville University73c275.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Winthrop University29c228.8$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5238439.8%153 W · 231 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a2…e9b7backed Maryville University62c208.24$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302035%7 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Winthrop University31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1383,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x493a…0bd2backed Maryville University71c199.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.995955.9%33 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed Winthrop University29c185.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.584431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Maryville University59c168.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.542,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Maryville University61c162.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Maryville University49c147.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.281,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Maryville University52c141.91$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1222324.7%55 W · 168 L-0.6wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43dc…e505backed Maryville University75c133.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007060%42 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Winthrop University41c132.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1829942.8%128 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Winthrop University35c121.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1628553%151 W · 134 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc046…f138backed Maryville University77c108$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.161181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked Winthrop University52c93.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6332566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Maryville University34c85.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.341,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ffc…cfabbacked Winthrop University25c84.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2423740.5%96 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Winthrop University35c77.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6986943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Winthrop University32c75.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.616737.7%63 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Winthrop University37c73.56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Maryville University50c73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.53831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Winthrop University52c72.49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.122,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Winthrop University30c71.17$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8292342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ecb…d265backed Maryville University75c67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509464.9%61 W · 33 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Maryville University22c63.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2424251.7%125 W · 117 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Maryville University73c62.73$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7949451.8%256 W · 238 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Maryville University43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.81,13030%339 W · 791 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Winthrop University33c59.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1933125.7%85 W · 246 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5d…241cbacked Winthrop University30c53.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.491741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked Winthrop University25c52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3969247%325 W · 367 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Winthrop University42c46.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8157222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d2c…3ec7backed Winthrop University47c42.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7339960.4%241 W · 158 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Maryville University73c41.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023880.3%191 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36d7…dacfbacked Maryville University72c40.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2928965.1%188 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Maryville University73c36.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761849.8%308 W · 310 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x278d…d3ecbacked Maryville University79c36.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.213372.2%96 W · 37 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8837…17aabacked Maryville University49c30.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.74233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6fbc…deedbacked Maryville University61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.340245.8%184 W · 218 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed Maryville University66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81,24752.8%659 W · 588 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ef…8444backed Maryville University73c28.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.157860.3%47 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe79…296fbacked Winthrop University46c28.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.514858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3073…3413backed Maryville University74c26.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018960.3%114 W · 75 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Maryville University73c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5275150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…ced8backed Maryville University71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.232371.2%230 W · 93 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.