Lol · resolved market
LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaf8b87967f0da43815749da912827d7c698b4c7e9612df3ace56770a06a0efd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maryville Universityof Winthrop University, Maryville University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Maryville University | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Winthrop University | 30c | 4,485$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.53 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Winthrop University | 30c | 3,680$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 174 | 39.7%69 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Winthrop University | 30c | 1,153$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.89 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Winthrop University | 30c | 675.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Maryville University | 71c | 666.28$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.62 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Winthrop University | 18c | 638.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…a28dbacked Maryville University | 78c | 601.3$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 180 | 65%117 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Winthrop University | 25c | 599.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.78 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Winthrop University | 29c | 513.79$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Winthrop University | 30c | 502.94$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.85 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Maryville University | 68c | 444.04$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.09 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01e…be0bbacked Winthrop University | 20c | 438.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Maryville University | 78c | 380$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Winthrop University | 9c | 343.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Winthrop University | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked Winthrop University | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Maryville University | 71c | 281.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Winthrop University | 28c | 264$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed Winthrop University | 22c | 254.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 404 | 46%186 W · 218 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Maryville University | 70c | 219.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed Maryville University | 71c | 204.23$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Maryville University | 71c | 202.44$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Maryville University | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Maryville University | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Winthrop University | 34c | 199.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Winthrop University | 27c | 140.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Maryville University | 77c | 103$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Winthrop University | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Winthrop University | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Winthrop University | 30c | 90.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Maryville University | 68c | 83.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Winthrop University | 32c | 83.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…75e4backed Winthrop University | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Winthrop University | 22c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Winthrop University | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Maryville University | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Winthrop University | 31c | 33.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Winthrop University | 32c | 33.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Maryville University | 71c | 28.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Maryville University | 71c | 26.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Maryville University | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 235 | 59.6%140 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Maryville University | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Maryville University | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Maryville University | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)Winthrop University won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League PlayoffsWinthrop University won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 1 WinnerWinthrop University won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 2 WinnerMaryville University won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 4 WinnerWinthrop University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.