TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Winthrop Universityof Winthrop University, Maryville University
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,723
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,723 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Maryville University75c10,000$7,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,495.592254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Winthrop University4c4,213$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,055.9619041.1%78 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Winthrop University24c2,629$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.371,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Winthrop University25c2,400$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8001,01447.6%483 W · 531 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Maryville University2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301541.9%3 W · 151 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Maryville University1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202181.8%4 W · 214 L+0.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Winthrop University25c1,464$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.082,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Winthrop University25c1,346$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.7924445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Maryville University1c1,330$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.940916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe740…f9e3backed Maryville University1c1,031$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-84.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Maryville University71c879.73$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.772,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Winthrop University28c875.69$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.852,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf28…db5dbacked Winthrop University60c788.38$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.798259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Winthrop University30c506.42$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5640145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed Winthrop University33c454.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.4124858.1%144 W · 104 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Winthrop University12c415.34$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.431,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Winthrop University25c409.2$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.93831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Maryville University68c399.99$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.911,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Winthrop University28c351.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8441343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Winthrop University25c240$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18039244.9%176 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Maryville University70c219.98$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9920154.7%110 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Winthrop University24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15260538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed Winthrop University25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508245.1%37 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed Winthrop University25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Maryville University41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8221242%89 W · 123 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Winthrop University34c190.18$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.861,91237.1%709 W · 1,203 L-115.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Maryville University28c187$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6760738.7%235 W · 372 L+2.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed Winthrop University29c172.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7940446%186 W · 218 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Winthrop University28c155.81$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3147630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Winthrop University25c150.11$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.251,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8db7…5143backed Winthrop University25c148$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1111100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Maryville University35c116$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1857222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Maryville University70c114.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.121,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked Winthrop University35c112.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8332566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Maryville University73c107.75$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.952,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ffc…cfabbacked Winthrop University29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4523740.5%96 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Maryville University61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6196348.7%469 W · 494 L+28.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Winthrop University30c89.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3234250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Winthrop University25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Maryville University67c59.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.121,54543.8%676 W · 869 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae8…e1b3backed Maryville University76c31.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.077349.3%36 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x278d…d3ecbacked Maryville University75c29.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.913372.2%96 W · 37 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maryville University71c28.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Maryville University66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21,34349%658 W · 685 L-26.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Maryville University70c18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.641749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.