CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Revise vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1deda30c081ffd8ee912aeb5feeaa3fd06a609a550c7fe2dc1df5a1be6cf063e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Reviseof Revise, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Revise | 51c | 1,972$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.84 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked FORZE Reload | 41c | 1,701$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.37 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FORZE Reload | 57c | 1,030$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.12 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed FORZE Reload | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FORZE Reload | 62c | 482.45$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.14 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Revise | 42c | 402.43$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.01 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed FORZE Reload | 77c | 400$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.62 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked FORZE Reload | 65c | 331.92$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FORZE Reload | 56c | 288.38$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…9116backed Revise | 59c | 279.18$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.78 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Revise | 48c | 260.91$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed FORZE Reload | 44c | 258$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Revise | 43c | 203.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Revise | 50c | 163$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Revise | 45c | 134.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…9d99backed FORZE Reload | 52c | 117.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Revise | 47c | 100.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…aef7backed Revise | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…50fcbacked FORZE Reload | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed FORZE Reload | 70c | 97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FORZE Reload | 43c | 96.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Revise | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed FORZE Reload | 27c | 89.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked FORZE Reload | 48c | 85.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…5c9cbacked Revise | 37c | 85.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Revise | 52c | 80.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked FORZE Reload | 62c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Revise | 24c | 69.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Revise | 37c | 67.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed Revise | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked FORZE Reload | 48c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FORZE Reload | 59c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FORZE Reload | 61c | 42.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Revise | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Revise | 45c | 35.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed FORZE Reload | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Revise | 45c | 26.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…1909backed FORZE Reload | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…be3fbacked FORZE Reload | 60c | 18.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Revise vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Revise vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-InRevise won
- Counter-Strike: Revise vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 WinnerFORZE Reload won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.