CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Revise vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27a685d232f2654eae5cb46fdde869ee16550b305609bf1dbd18248417e632e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof Revise, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FORZE Reload | 53c | 301$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.71 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Revise | 46c | 300.2$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.15 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Revise | 41c | 279$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Revise | 47c | 251.61$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed FORZE Reload | 61c | 240.41$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed FORZE Reload | 61c | 220.82$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Revise | 43c | 201.35$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Revise | 55c | 172.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FORZE Reload | 52c | 117$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Revise | 37c | 94.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Revise | 38c | 87.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…5691backed Revise | 34c | 86.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed FORZE Reload | 33c | 66.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Revise | 38c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Revise | 37c | 42.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FORZE Reload | 47c | 32.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Revise | 47c | 21.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FORZE Reload | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed FORZE Reload | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Revise vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Revise vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-InRevise won
- Counter-Strike: Revise vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 WinnerRevise won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.