TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Butterflyof Just Players, Butterfly
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c71…c0e5backed Just Players47c7,482$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,516.7537346.1%172 W · 201 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ea…7668backed Butterfly53c1,476$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.643976.9%30 W · 9 L+7.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+36.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed Butterfly56c888$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.623356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14b0…a142backed Butterfly53c693$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.715244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61a8…1ad4backed Just Players13c664.62$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.43727%10 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Just Players34c630.69$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.822,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5785…e5cbbacked Just Players43c599.55$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Butterfly55c576$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.645,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0f59backed Butterfly62c534.68$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.0822546.2%104 W · 121 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Butterfly57c501.73$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.22,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Butterfly53c481.92$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.467,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Butterfly41c446.91$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.6794945.8%435 W · 514 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Butterfly54c422$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.921,89041.9%791 W · 1,099 L-71.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed Butterfly67c400.09$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7319447.4%92 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed Butterfly53c400$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.7631043.9%136 W · 174 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Just Players30c381.81$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.973,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Butterfly64c341.13$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7849843%214 W · 284 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Butterfly54c332.23$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.272,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Just Players17c322.01$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6415337.3%57 W · 96 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Butterfly63c320$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.649952.3%261 W · 238 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Butterfly64c313.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7332643.3%141 W · 185 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Just Players39c275.57$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.722,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Butterfly53c265$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9566446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc1…9a14backed Butterfly53c264$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.083243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42db…3816backed Butterfly63c225$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.322123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-42.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1407…e56cbacked Butterfly51c219.6$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.62532%8 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Just Players21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6411831.4%37 W · 81 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Just Players33c194.69$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.651,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc847…3b02backed Butterfly52c192.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Just Players60c180$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10833050%165 W · 165 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Just Players35c177.83$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.732,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked Butterfly53c165$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.558441.7%35 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed Just Players42c164.28$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0420935.9%75 W · 134 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Butterfly77c158.07$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.422,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Just Players39c156.44$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.262,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Just Players40c155.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8116641%68 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked Butterfly51c150.45$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7214645.2%66 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Butterfly40c141.67$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8544551.2%228 W · 217 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a9…e7d8backed Butterfly53c132$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.047252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd7…70ddbacked Butterfly68c130.54$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee83…bc59backed Butterfly68c124$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.682070%14 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+44.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Butterfly43c115$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6528637.8%108 W · 178 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Just Players38c113.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0181744.7%365 W · 452 L-2.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e2…5405backed Butterfly51c105.27$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.582352.2%12 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+59.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Butterfly54c104.61$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8515749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Just Players41c103.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0522552.9%119 W · 106 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Just Players14c99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.868333.7%28 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc02…d6c5backed Just Players53c93.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Just Players26c93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.782,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Just Players42c90.58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4654743.7%239 W · 308 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked Butterfly55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.515246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Butterfly61c89.26$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.545,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Just Players34c85.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.132,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Just Players28c85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.711,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1c…3f79backed Just Players35c68.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.932245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed Just Players18c64.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6414942.3%63 W · 86 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6183…4fa8backed Butterfly51c63.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.27825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Just Players30c57.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.282,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Butterfly58c57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9123256.5%131 W · 101 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Butterfly59c57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.323,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9929…15a8backed Butterfly53c56.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5917163.7%109 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d51…71a5backed Butterfly70c53.13$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.131816.7%3 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-74.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd520…0c5fbacked Just Players59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c79…ddf6backed Butterfly68c49.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.958664%55 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Just Players33c49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.162,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…f571backed Just Players46c47.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed Butterfly63c42.39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5322346.2%103 W · 120 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Butterfly59c42.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3737549.1%184 W · 191 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Just Players48c39.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8374239.1%290 W · 452 L-29.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed Just Players49c37.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4211252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef2…44c9backed Butterfly63c36.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.653141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Butterfly55c33.82$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.321,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Butterfly56c32.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5616745.5%76 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Butterfly64c31.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2877346.1%356 W · 417 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Butterfly52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.423037.8%87 W · 143 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Butterfly40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186336.5%23 W · 40 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x646a…cd90backed Butterfly68c28.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.139552.6%50 W · 45 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Butterfly53c26.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3961855%340 W · 278 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17a…f7e5backed Just Players48c20.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.032356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f98…cb91backed Butterfly53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.47042.9%30 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Butterfly53c19.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.113,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.