Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb8a4be7e02a9da5955da8d1f8c9804f81a8d3b40107227ed83fb3f06c4931f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked DRX | 39c | 2,602$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.77 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Nongshim RedForce | 65c | 1,507$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.62 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 1,402$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.97 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked DRX | 37c | 1,295$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.4 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 1,044$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.8 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed DRX | 53c | 784.06$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.48 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed DRX | 41c | 656.67$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.94 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Nongshim RedForce | 47c | 539.36$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.23 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…db1bbacked DRX | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked DRX | 41c | 497.73$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.07 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +11.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 337.46$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.31 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed DRX | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed DRX | 38c | 293.32$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked DRX | 40c | 275$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 253.05$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 221.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nongshim RedForce | 61c | 188.21$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed DRX | 32c | 159.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Nongshim RedForce | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nongshim RedForce | 62c | 140.72$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed DRX | 24c | 117.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Nongshim RedForce | 61c | 116.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed DRX | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed DRX | 40c | 101$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 100.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed DRX | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Nongshim RedForce | 48c | 98.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ac…0317backed DRX | 47c | 98.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked DRX | 41c | 98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed DRX | 44c | 93.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 66c | 88.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed DRX | 35c | 86.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…5a03backed DRX | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed DRX | 35c | 57.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…16cbbacked DRX | 48c | 53.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Nongshim RedForce | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 49.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Nongshim RedForce | 61c | 47.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed DRX | 57c | 47.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…807ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 63c | 45.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed DRX | 30c | 37.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3028…21e7backed Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 35.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x295a…5adabacked DRX | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.34per pick | 41cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed DRX | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…089fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed DRX | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed Nongshim RedForce | 60c | 32.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked DRX | 41c | 31.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…8c81backed DRX | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nongshim RedForce | 58c | 26.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 25.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 24.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)DRX won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaDRX won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX - Map 1 WinnerDRX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.