Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdd765e177eb86278fab0f4e336593d51a356580120cf186af5005df6ba6d1fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DRXof Nongshim RedForce, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8061…a32bbacked DRX | 78c | 4,304$3,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.35 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 1,336$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.64 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 17c | 1,099$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.17 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked DRX | 43c | 980.87$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.15 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 807.98$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.39 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed DRX | 45c | 795.6$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.3 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Nongshim RedForce | 33c | 517.35$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.31 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nongshim RedForce | 17c | 483.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 444$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 5c | 440$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nongshim RedForce | 21c | 413$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Nongshim RedForce | 12c | 406.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked DRX | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nongshim RedForce | 17c | 153$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Nongshim RedForce | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked DRX | 65c | 104.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Nongshim RedForce | 60c | 92.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed DRX | 42c | 83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 79.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…8175backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 71.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f1…1054backed DRX | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Nongshim RedForce | 66c | 59.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed DRX | 41c | 58.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Nongshim RedForce | 72c | 54.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed DRX | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 40.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Nongshim RedForce | 45c | 32.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x295a…5adabacked Nongshim RedForce | 46c | 31.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.34per pick | 41cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Nongshim RedForce | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Nongshim RedForce | 69c | 21.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3028…21e7backed Nongshim RedForce | 74c | 20.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…807ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 68c | 17.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)DRX won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaDRX won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.