Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Nuxeria Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x591a00c256fafb7bb8400ca52180f9a3e669b335970386978075ab29a2b5032c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Caldya Esportof Caldya Esport, Nuxeria Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Caldya Esport | 75c | 923.42$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.94 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Nuxeria Esport | 20c | 905.44$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.63 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Caldya Esport | 50c | 594.96$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.48 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nuxeria Esport | 23c | 534.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Caldya Esport | 48c | 521.62$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.61 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nuxeria Esport | 33c | 516.63$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.23 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Nuxeria Esport | 15c | 510.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Caldya Esport | 70c | 483.84$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.43 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Caldya Esport | 50c | 463.77$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.82 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nuxeria Esport | 15c | 378$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nuxeria Esport | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nuxeria Esport | 19c | 272.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Nuxeria Esport | 38c | 267.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuxeria Esport | 23c | 252.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Nuxeria Esport | 42c | 220.91$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuxeria Esport | 32c | 205.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Nuxeria Esport | 42c | 202.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Caldya Esport | 71c | 201.84$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Caldya Esport | 67c | 157.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Caldya Esport | 50c | 150.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nuxeria Esport | 39c | 138.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Caldya Esport | 59c | 131.35$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Nuxeria Esport | 28c | 129.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Nuxeria Esport | 9c | 128.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…16cbbacked Nuxeria Esport | 16c | 126.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Nuxeria Esport | 48c | 121.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuxeria Esport | 50c | 120.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nuxeria Esport | 22c | 116.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Caldya Esport | 67c | 111$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Nuxeria Esport | 32c | 103.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Caldya Esport | 53c | 99.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Nuxeria Esport | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed Caldya Esport | 65c | 93.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nuxeria Esport | 50c | 87.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Nuxeria Esport | 16c | 85.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Caldya Esport | 48c | 76.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nuxeria Esport | 19c | 76.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nuxeria Esport | 37c | 75.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Nuxeria Esport | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Nuxeria Esport | 36c | 74.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Caldya Esport | 62c | 64.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Caldya Esport | 63c | 56.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Caldya Esport | 78c | 54.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Nuxeria Esport | 32c | 47.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Nuxeria Esport | 51c | 41.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Nuxeria Esport | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Nuxeria Esport | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ac…fd38backed Nuxeria Esport | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…b3debacked Caldya Esport | 54c | 30.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Caldya Esport | 63c | 28.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Caldya Esport | 63c | 21.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Nuxeria Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Nuxeria Esport - Map 1 WinnerCaldya Esport won
- Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Nuxeria Esport - Map 2 WinnerNuxeria Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.