Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5af1e40c241bc475c8a72dbf6746614f2e27a333fb183ba990c20ca66223089
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HMBLEof UCAM Esports Club, HMBLE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed HMBLE | 41c | 2,791$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.84 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed UCAM Esports Club | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed HMBLE | 41c | 1,627$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.08 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed UCAM Esports Club | 58c | 615$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.7 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked UCAM Esports Club | 42c | 555$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked UCAM Esports Club | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked HMBLE | 42c | 371.11$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.24 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…1ddbbacked UCAM Esports Club | 59c | 347.46$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…39c6backed HMBLE | 41c | 257.14$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.71 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed UCAM Esports Club | 59c | 251.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.66 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed HMBLE | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked UCAM Esports Club | 60c | 193.19$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…f1bfbacked UCAM Esports Club | 58c | 181.49$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked UCAM Esports Club | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed HMBLE | 41c | 164$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed UCAM Esports Club | 59c | 162$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed UCAM Esports Club | 58c | 134.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed UCAM Esports Club | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed UCAM Esports Club | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed HMBLE | 39c | 81.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked UCAM Esports Club | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed HMBLE | 43c | 67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed UCAM Esports Club | 58c | 66.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed UCAM Esports Club | 62c | 44.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed HMBLE | 42c | 43.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HMBLE | 38c | 37.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed HMBLE | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group AUCAM Esports Club won
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 WinnerHMBLE won
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 2 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.