Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cedcdd43e8fba2fcbadadc03e1fd66f609182e652fb9775654eda6a0acef7e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof Rex Regum Qeon, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rex Regum Qeon | 21c | 4,457$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.68 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 10c | 2,720$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.78 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Rex Regum Qeon | 39c | 2,116$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.44 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…36ffbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 9c | 1,556$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 895.19$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.19 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rex Regum Qeon | 32c | 773.75$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.93 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf7…9907backed Rex Regum Qeon | 8c | 711.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Rex Regum Qeon | 41c | 529.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.5 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Rex Regum Qeon | 38c | 447.35$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.45 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Rex Regum Qeon | 22c | 340$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 306.68$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Rex Regum Qeon | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Rex Regum Qeon | 39c | 256.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…e84abacked Rex Regum Qeon | 25c | 240.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Rex Regum Qeon | 18c | 224.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Rex Regum Qeon | 15c | 203$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Rex Regum Qeon | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e5…c769backed Rex Regum Qeon | 29c | 174.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…024bbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 20c | 145.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…0968backed Rex Regum Qeon | 27c | 143.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 11c | 128.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 104.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Rex Regum Qeon | 28c | 103.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 34c | 98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…d388backed Rex Regum Qeon | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed35…bd18backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 29c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 61.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0289…cb50backed 100 Thieves | 80c | 56.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Rex Regum Qeon | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…5dc5backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8563…5e98backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Rex Regum Qeon | 30c | 37.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…6a15backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 36.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Rex Regum Qeon | 40c | 34.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 29.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…32f3backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 25.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A100 Thieves won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.