TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, MIBR LOS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed MIBR LOS53c19,211$10,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,160.0524145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves47c6,010$2,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,185.0553159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves47c5,874$2,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,100.7265559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves47c4,222$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.2768458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves68c2,834$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.1526650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed 100 Thieves57c2,108$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.2654751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves49c1,462$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.5494361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR LOS38c1,316$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.521,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe197…71ebbacked 100 Thieves79c1,001$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.131435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4309…03a6backed 100 Thieves53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed MIBR LOS51c941.18$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4803537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MIBR LOS29c923.97$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.0140945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb379…0d76backed MIBR LOS21c823.82$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.433132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed 100 Thieves72c779.1$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3930147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe767…9107backed MIBR LOS51c716.14$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.236755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed MIBR LOS29c665$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8513743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR LOS39c625.17$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.611,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked MIBR LOS44c618$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.374845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves49c577.79$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.6793049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked 100 Thieves49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25524457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed MIBR LOS51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MIBR LOS41c480.75$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.061,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked MIBR LOS52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20831153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked 100 Thieves49c392.03$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.0330652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6712…a95bbacked 100 Thieves46c390.9$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.882352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd20…24dabacked MIBR LOS8c363$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.525523.6%13 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed MIBR LOS4c356.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2510217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked MIBR LOS45c354.94$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1523644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked 100 Thieves70c286.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2612856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves49c277.27$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.331,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed MIBR LOS44c265$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.159838.8%38 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe3…eaafbacked 100 Thieves47c250.43$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.912650%13 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked MIBR LOS44c250.05$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8957151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 100 Thieves48c238.09$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.231,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…0bf2backed MIBR LOS43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed MIBR LOS57c220.88$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed MIBR LOS38c220.6$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.836630.3%20 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MIBR LOS18c217.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.071,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed MIBR LOS44c215.21$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6933838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4b3…5bd5backed MIBR LOS53c203.78$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a1…f88bbacked 100 Thieves58c172.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.648936%32 W · 57 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed MIBR LOS50c165.38$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8236145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed MIBR LOS54c145.7$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6853442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ec…64b6backed MIBR LOS28c143.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406028.3%17 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked 100 Thieves45c132$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0113043.8%57 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR LOS52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6593148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed MIBR LOS44c120.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5328151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked MIBR LOS32c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.825141.4%104 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed MIBR LOS42c116.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1474642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed MIBR LOS43c106$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5899846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed MIBR LOS40c104$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.66848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked MIBR LOS47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4711149.5%55 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cc6…4593backed 100 Thieves45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked MIBR LOS45c99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9577744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0919…2074backed 100 Thieves52c95.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.862560%15 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x260f…6980backed MIBR LOS21c90$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.95532.7%18 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked 100 Thieves44c88.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6410942.2%46 W · 63 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed 100 Thieves66c82.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1710566.7%70 W · 35 L+10.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed MIBR LOS42c75.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.565347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed MIBR LOS44c69.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.348852.3%46 W · 42 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf77…7cfbbacked 100 Thieves62c67.21$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed 100 Thieves47c64.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.279540%38 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed 100 Thieves58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.222455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e51…2412backed MIBR LOS51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307745.5%35 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed 100 Thieves61c57.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.384546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce61…a87fbacked 100 Thieves45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.45158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed 100 Thieves42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2915358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked MIBR LOS35c44.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.870043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb515…7e2bbacked 100 Thieves69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked MIBR LOS30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1290733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed MIBR LOS50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203941%16 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x96b7…a214backed 100 Thieves49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41580%12 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked 100 Thieves63c36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1642140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c2b…af40backed MIBR LOS54c35.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.424858.3%28 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed MIBR LOS34c31.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.617850%39 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42f…f5cabacked 100 Thieves46c30.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.431154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked MIBR LOS54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.233947.8%162 W · 177 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed 100 Thieves60c28.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1120755.6%115 W · 92 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked 100 Thieves65c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7750944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8853…aa3fbacked MIBR LOS42c25.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed 100 Thieves48c25.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.089640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed MIBR LOS42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.543843.6%191 W · 247 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked 100 Thieves47c24.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2596245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d1…6a15backed 100 Thieves61c24.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.483237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea8e…a638backed 100 Thieves49c22.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.454238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac77…4009backed 100 Thieves49c22.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.375042%21 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4442…238cbacked 100 Thieves46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8811655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed 100 Thieves74c20.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2911770.9%83 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedab…8926backed 100 Thieves56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.811258%65 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.