Tennis · resolved market
ITF Zhengzhou: Junhan Zhang vs Chenting Zhu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fde8028d6172f759cca0bd52e528bb98c950460ffabf9b888fee1384603b7ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chenting Zhuof Junhan Zhang, Chenting Zhu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Junhan Zhang | 45c | 3,028$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.48 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chenting Zhu | 56c | 828.95$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.74 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Chenting Zhu | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chenting Zhu | 55c | 239$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Junhan Zhang | 41c | 235.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chenting Zhu | 39c | 226.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Chenting Zhu | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Junhan Zhang | 67c | 181$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Junhan Zhang | 29c | 120.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chenting Zhu | 62c | 106.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Chenting Zhu | 46c | 94.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Chenting Zhu | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Chenting Zhu | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Chenting Zhu | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Chenting Zhu | 46c | 89.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Chenting Zhu | 54c | 89.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…444abacked Chenting Zhu | 54c | 89.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Chenting Zhu | 54c | 89.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…866ebacked Chenting Zhu | 54c | 89.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Chenting Zhu | 54c | 57.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Chenting Zhu | 53c | 56.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Chenting Zhu | 67c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Chenting Zhu | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Chenting Zhu | 65c | 48.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chenting Zhu | 38c | 47.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Chenting Zhu | 61c | 42.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Chenting Zhu | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e0…2838backed Chenting Zhu | 35c | 28.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Chenting Zhu | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Chenting Zhu | 59c | 23.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 119 | 68.9%82 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Chenting Zhu | 62c | 20.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Chenting Zhu | 62c | 20.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Chenting Zhu | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.