Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Illinois State Redbirds: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70a1f79d44b2c0917d2c07e8346f6fad92fd001f947b696fbed62b1a3ecf209d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,585 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 54c | 16,947$9,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,129.58 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 14,405$6,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,863.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 47c | 12,940$6,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,857.55 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 53c | 10,000$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,349.99 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 8,098$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380.02 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 52c | 5,555$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 46c | 5,353$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.81 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 47c | 5,103$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.6 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 46c | 4,215$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.21 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 3,735$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.77 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 3,037$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 52c | 2,792$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.74 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 2,665$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.85 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 2,475$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.27 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 46c | 1,284$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.57 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 48c | 1,239$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.32 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 46c | 780.16$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.29 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 596.85$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.8 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Under | 59c | 499.82$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.93 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 46c | 495.65$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.65 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 54c | 482$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.28 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 46c | 446.09$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.89 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 54c | 368.4$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 44c | 353.76$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.11 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 304.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.59 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 46c | 297.39$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.59 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Under | 44c | 293.45$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 48c | 289.12$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.34 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 45c | 232.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.88 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 55c | 216.56$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 53c | 195.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 46c | 168.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Over | 41c | 145.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 144.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Over | 53c | 139.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Over | 41c | 118.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 46c | 97.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 45c | 87.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 46c | 86.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 48c | 79.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Over | 41c | 72.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…db55backed Under | 48c | 72.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 41c | 66.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 50c | 61.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 48c | 61.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 46c | 53.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 45c | 51.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 61c | 48.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 46c | 44.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 46c | 44.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 45c | 44.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…9740backed Under | 46c | 43.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 46c | 42.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 46c | 42.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 46c | 42.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Under | 48c | 41.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…e980backed Over | 41c | 40.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 47c | 39.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…dc0abacked Under | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…4f91backed Over | 55c | 36.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 50c | 35.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 45c | 30.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 55c | 23.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…d21abacked Under | 46c | 22.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Under | 44c | 22.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 55c | 19.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Illinois State Redbirds: O/U 153.5this page
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Illinois State RedbirdsIllinois State Redbirds won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Illinois State Redbirds: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Illinois State Redbirds (-14.5)Illinois State Redbirds won
- Spread: Illinois State Redbirds (-4.5)Illinois State Redbirds won
- Spread: Illinois State Redbirds (-5.5)Illinois State Redbirds won
- Spread: Illinois State Redbirds (-6.5)Illinois State Redbirds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.