TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 150.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,802 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over49c3,982$1,950 inWon+$2,031.3939454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c2,746$1,398 inLost-$1,398.2612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under51c986.3$503 inLost-$503.0110749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Over60c347.06$208 inWon+$138.829452.1%49 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under52c266.88$139 inLost-$138.781,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under51c258.34$131 inLost-$131.423,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under52c190.63$99 inLost-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over46c186.62$86 inWon+$100.5652843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Under51c155.49$79 inLost-$79.33348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c124.59$60 inWon+$64.431,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed Over51c99.13$50 inWon+$48.828444%37 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under51c87.46$45 inLost-$44.6158652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under41c84.29$35 inLost-$34.63,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over56c64.44$36 inWon+$28.44,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under50c52.6$26 inLost-$26.181,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fe9…dc0abacked Under50c39.65$20 inLost-$19.832751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over50c33.7$17 inWon+$16.8530152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over42c29.74$12 inWon+$17.2553635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over43c27.67$12 inWon+$15.777350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc187…efaabacked Over50c23.56$12 inWon+$11.672642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under58c21.68$13 inLost-$12.5871655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under51c19.83$10 inLost-$10.162,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.