Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf65adb15e2f539ab6055ca314bd99020cf819c8d8f210bb684c7cc4e8bbf409f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksof Tulsa Golden Hurricane, Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,932 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 54c | 7,040$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.28 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 46c | 5,212$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.91 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 47c | 4,183$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.92 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 4c | 1,701$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 54c | 1,313$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.59 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 55c | 1,199$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.38 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 54c | 1,170$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.09 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 47c | 999.8$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.86 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 52c | 991.26$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.81 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 21c | 899.47$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4a…432abacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 50c | 640$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…b59bbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 50c | 634.4$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 51c | 485.91$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.81 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 54c | 295.63$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 55c | 203.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 161.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 45c | 146.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 51c | 142.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 141.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 45c | 88.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 46c | 87.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 45c | 84.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 48c | 63.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 46c | 59.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 58c | 58.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 54c | 56.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 48c | 51.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 47c | 46.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 51c | 42.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 51c | 42.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 47c | 40.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 48c | 35.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 41c | 33.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 66c | 32.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 52c | 31.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 47c | 30.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf4…b52ebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +10.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 45c | 28.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 69c | 27.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 47c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 47c | 21.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-1.5)Tulsa Golden Hurricane won
- Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-7.5)Tulsa Golden Hurricane won
- Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-6.5)Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa Golden Hurricane won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 150.5Over won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 153.5Over won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 154.5Over won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 155.5Over won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.