Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d0f4c4cfde161a89aba06d62d2177c78a8b9bf5b5d235879d9115d07a09ccbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,735 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 49c | 5,826$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.69 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 4,763$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbf…01b2backed Under | 51c | 1,289$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 49c | 980.39$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.39 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 802.78$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.36 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 51c | 583.09$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.71 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Under | 51c | 399.58$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…b2e3backed Under | 51c | 396.5$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 388.73$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.48 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Under | 53c | 68.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 51c | 39.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…dc0abacked Under | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 51c | 22.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 146.5this page
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-1.5)Seattle Redhawks won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-2.5)Seattle Redhawks won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-7.5)Seattle Redhawks won
- Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-1.5)Seattle Redhawks won
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle RedhawksSeattle Redhawks won
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 145.5Under won
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.