Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f0d6388e05a04d388e750cc3116c6ffb9ce6d3f235fb9bc128918bb55a1c0c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,946 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Under | 56c | 15,230$8,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,738.39 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 47c | 12,873$5,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,986.82 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 4,798$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.31 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 3,316$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.55 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 1,737$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.21 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Under | 54c | 991.31$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 54c | 675.52$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.74 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 509$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 54c | 495.65$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 378.13$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.42 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 51c | 325.51$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.74 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 46c | 246$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 213.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…73d9backed Under | 54c | 183.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 47c | 178.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 109.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 43c | 87.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 47c | 76.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 47c | 73.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Under | 54c | 73.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 47c | 50.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 52c | 43.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 44c | 42.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 47c | 40.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 59c | 23.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 56c | 20.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 19.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 147.5this page
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-1.5)Seattle Redhawks won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-2.5)Seattle Redhawks won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-7.5)Seattle Redhawks won
- Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-1.5)Seattle Redhawks won
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle RedhawksSeattle Redhawks won
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 145.5Under won
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 146.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.