Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNCW Seahawks vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73cf7b5507b094f5c7046608b54d07944c37d4d764ebe4e102c782ff2d166a1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,560 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 52c | 9,256$4,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.36 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 4,070$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 3,075$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.85 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 52c | 1,984$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.87 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,853$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.18 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,447$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.32 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 959.17$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.51 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 49c | 743.44$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.94 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Under | 53c | 625.05$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.07 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 297.92$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.04 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 49c | 259.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.34 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 162.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 111.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3c…3206backed Over | 54c | 110.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Under | 52c | 104.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 103.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5f41backed Under | 49c | 101.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 49c | 99.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +10.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 49c | 90.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc6…ace8backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 53c | 46.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 78c | 43.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…dc0abacked Under | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 53c | 37.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Under | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNCW Seahawks vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 147.5this page
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-4.5)UNCW Seahawks won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-5.5)UNCW Seahawks won
- UNCW Seahawks vs. Yale BulldogsUNCW Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.