Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x279848c5b9ac1054ce76b33e1f1851dce143318ea130a8e34ecda858e49624d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNCW Seahawksof Yale Bulldogs, UNCW Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,307 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yale Bulldogs | 52c | 51,565$26,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,830.88 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed UNCW Seahawks | 48c | 45,323$21,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,567.98 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 9,425$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.37 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 5,325$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed UNCW Seahawks | 48c | 4,685$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.56 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked UNCW Seahawks | 48c | 1,983$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.91 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNCW Seahawks | 48c | 829.02$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.17 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked UNCW Seahawks | 48c | 619.54$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.16 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 504$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UNCW Seahawks | 48c | 462$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.19 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed UNCW Seahawks | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 155.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed UNCW Seahawks | 46c | 150.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked UNCW Seahawks | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed UNCW Seahawks | 37c | 39.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 36.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed UNCW Seahawks | 48c | 31.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +10.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 24.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked UNCW Seahawks | 48c | 23.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-4.5)this page
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-5.5)UNCW Seahawks won
- UNCW Seahawks vs. Yale BulldogsUNCW Seahawks won
- UNCW Seahawks vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.