Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47158da322461ae0c3999d4e5a03aac0613ae1babd1f78df5f0325cb9414bb13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNCW Seahawksof Yale Bulldogs, UNCW Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,292 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed UNCW Seahawks | 52c | 6,061$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.37 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yale Bulldogs | 47c | 4,998$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.63 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Yale Bulldogs | 48c | 3,612$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.71 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNCW Seahawks | 53c | 1,997$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.93 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yale Bulldogs | 60c | 1,413$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.5 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked UNCW Seahawks | 55c | 1,126$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.77 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yale Bulldogs | 46c | 1,017$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.28 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yale Bulldogs | 48c | 1,004$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.44 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed UNCW Seahawks | 54c | 991.31$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…50afbacked Yale Bulldogs | 46c | 991.3$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed UNCW Seahawks | 54c | 611.15$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.13 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UNCW Seahawks | 54c | 563.57$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.38 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yale Bulldogs | 45c | 441.77$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNCW Seahawks | 46c | 379.86$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.67 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UNCW Seahawks | 48c | 288.44$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.46 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 237.9$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed UNCW Seahawks | 51c | 150.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yale Bulldogs | 46c | 145.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 131.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4e…e8e2backed Yale Bulldogs | 50c | 108.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yale Bulldogs | 45c | 103$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked UNCW Seahawks | 54c | 99.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UNCW Seahawks | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked UNCW Seahawks | 51c | 69.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed UNCW Seahawks | 41c | 66.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2238…4423backed Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 64.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed UNCW Seahawks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed UNCW Seahawks | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yale Bulldogs | 47c | 52.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yale Bulldogs | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed UNCW Seahawks | 53c | 46.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked UNCW Seahawks | 54c | 43.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 42.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed UNCW Seahawks | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yale Bulldogs | 47c | 38.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Yale Bulldogs | 48c | 36.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed UNCW Seahawks | 41c | 34.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yale Bulldogs | 45c | 29.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed UNCW Seahawks | 41c | 25.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-5.5)this page
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-4.5)UNCW Seahawks won
- UNCW Seahawks vs. Yale BulldogsUNCW Seahawks won
- UNCW Seahawks vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.