Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78f931282db088bb84d14bffbf96fd0f7f83ae84a3ef7c9a0a576fcd64a87e63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,597 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 51c | 8,721$4,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,460.65 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb17…da8bbacked Under | 51c | 3,921$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…53f9backed Over | 49c | 3,887$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 3,543$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 2,396$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.84 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 52c | 2,225$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.92 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,158$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.01 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.63 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Under | 50c | 963.52$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.91 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 856.02$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.01 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 52c | 715.11$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.1 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…0787backed Under | 49c | 341$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 56c | 340.33$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.75 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 48c | 291.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 239.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 212.9$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 206.18$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 175.04$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 166.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 160.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 54c | 157.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 47c | 150.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 135.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 107.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 103.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 51c | 103.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 86.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 49c | 85.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 59c | 70.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 58c | 69.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 48c | 59.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 53c | 49.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 59c | 43.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 40.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…dc0abacked Under | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 36.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 33.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 26.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 49c | 23.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 148.5this page
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon DeaconsWake Forest Demon Deacons won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 147.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 149.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 150.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 152.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-10.5)Navy Midshipmen won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-11.5)Navy Midshipmen won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-12.5)Navy Midshipmen won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-8.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-9.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.