Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fae85d27fbca2a651687a45075b995b73192112a877e27faaa02d2872cc7b36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navy Midshipmenof Wake Forest Demon Deacons, Navy Midshipmen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,894 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Navy Midshipmen | 54c | 19,826$10,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,120.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 11,145$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,126.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 9,193$4,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,228.64 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Navy Midshipmen | 53c | 2,048$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.43 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 48c | 2,023$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 2,014$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.31 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 47c | 1,983$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.8 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Navy Midshipmen | 55c | 1,803$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.34 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 50c | 628.38$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.62 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 49c | 599.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.53 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Navy Midshipmen | 54c | 544.15$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 48c | 472.81$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Navy Midshipmen | 54c | 321.8$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.03 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…f351backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 51c | 204.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 44c | 182.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 150.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 53c | 92.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 49c | 69.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 60.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 59.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…954ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 53.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…89eebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 59c | 33.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Navy Midshipmen | 51c | 20.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-10.5)this page
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon DeaconsWake Forest Demon Deacons won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 147.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 148.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 149.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 150.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 152.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-11.5)Navy Midshipmen won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-12.5)Navy Midshipmen won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-8.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-9.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.