Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78fb3df1be50152a5c8c7c0dbba6c05dd74ae3600c98843008d324318d82bdf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wake Forest Demon Deaconsof Navy Midshipmen, Wake Forest Demon Deacons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,987 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Navy Midshipmen | 16c | 17,831$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.7 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Navy Midshipmen | 20c | 11,230$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.71 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Navy Midshipmen | 17c | 7,076$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.9 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Navy Midshipmen | 17c | 6,931$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.2 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Navy Midshipmen | 16c | 4,375$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.91 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Navy Midshipmen | 15c | 3,044$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.64 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Navy Midshipmen | 16c | 2,576$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.19 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Navy Midshipmen | 16c | 2,447$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.61 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Navy Midshipmen | 1c | 2,057$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Navy Midshipmen | 16c | 1,809$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.29 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 18c | 1,691$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.47 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Navy Midshipmen | 15c | 1,659$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.67 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Navy Midshipmen | 22c | 1,629$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.38 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Navy Midshipmen | 14c | 1,304$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.54 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Navy Midshipmen | 17c | 1,192$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.59 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Navy Midshipmen | 14c | 1,067$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 79c | 1,003$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.44 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Navy Midshipmen | 17c | 939.34$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.69 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Navy Midshipmen | 19c | 900.78$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Navy Midshipmen | 19c | 737.41$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.06 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Navy Midshipmen | 16c | 622.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Navy Midshipmen | 13c | 608.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 16c | 597.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 80c | 566$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Navy Midshipmen | 18c | 537.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Navy Midshipmen | 17c | 487.58$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…3f7fbacked Navy Midshipmen | 5c | 399.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Navy Midshipmen | 18c | 367.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Navy Midshipmen | 14c | 349.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Navy Midshipmen | 14c | 346.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Navy Midshipmen | 17c | 333.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Navy Midshipmen | 13c | 331.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Navy Midshipmen | 17c | 298.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Navy Midshipmen | 11c | 276.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 17c | 268.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 14c | 249.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Navy Midshipmen | 14c | 229.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Navy Midshipmen | 24c | 207$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e249backed Navy Midshipmen | 11c | 181.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Navy Midshipmen | 16c | 169.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf3…fe8fbacked Navy Midshipmen | 10c | 160.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Navy Midshipmen | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Navy Midshipmen | 17c | 134.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Navy Midshipmen | 14c | 120.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Navy Midshipmen | 16c | 118.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…1c4cbacked Navy Midshipmen | 13c | 110.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8db…55e8backed Navy Midshipmen | 14c | 109.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Navy Midshipmen | 17c | 105.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f3…4302backed Navy Midshipmen | 17c | 99.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbead…0ed7backed Navy Midshipmen | 15c | 99.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Navy Midshipmen | 18c | 99.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Navy Midshipmen | 17c | 97.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Navy Midshipmen | 11c | 96.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 79c | 91.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Navy Midshipmen | 17c | 90.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Navy Midshipmen | 19c | 68.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edf…f312backed Navy Midshipmen | 17c | 64.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…e8e5backed Navy Midshipmen | 17c | 64.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Navy Midshipmen | 20c | 49.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc8…8eacbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 79c | 19.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 80c | 14.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsthis page
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 147.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 148.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 149.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 150.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 152.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-10.5)Navy Midshipmen won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-11.5)Navy Midshipmen won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-12.5)Navy Midshipmen won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-8.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-9.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.