Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcd4fcd548f42fdf944d2caa3a752f273fdb7bc47343f359633d9d8cf543fc72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navy Midshipmenof Wake Forest Demon Deacons, Navy Midshipmen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,417 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 5,855$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.71 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 52c | 2,501$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.71 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.22 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Navy Midshipmen | 54c | 1,277$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.63 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 44c | 1,171$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.96 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…0787backed Navy Midshipmen | 58c | 1,026$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452d…542bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 878.4$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 42c | 587.08$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.57 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 51c | 580.85$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Navy Midshipmen | 58c | 537.89$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.57 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 47c | 333.07$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 44c | 273.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3870…c3dbbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 271.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 43c | 168.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 150.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Navy Midshipmen | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 53c | 116.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 48c | 114.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed Navy Midshipmen | 58c | 89.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Navy Midshipmen | 48c | 86.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…db55backed Navy Midshipmen | 56c | 66.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Navy Midshipmen | 57c | 59.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 50c | 53.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 49c | 51.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Navy Midshipmen | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Navy Midshipmen | 56c | 35.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 43c | 27.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…33febacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 47c | 23.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-11.5)this page
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon DeaconsWake Forest Demon Deacons won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 147.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 148.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 149.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 150.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 152.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-10.5)Navy Midshipmen won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-12.5)Navy Midshipmen won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-8.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-9.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.