Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3e96a5b18f057162ea2c21e12b0affbb64c25f87a948e32e39098d24b96a8bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navy Midshipmenof Wake Forest Demon Deacons, Navy Midshipmen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,376 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Navy Midshipmen | 55c | 5,599$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Navy Midshipmen | 55c | 5,508$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.1 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 45c | 4,677$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.67 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 45c | 3,831$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.47 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Navy Midshipmen | 53c | 799.95$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.97 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 715.84$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.52 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Navy Midshipmen | 54c | 711.84$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.92 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 647.33$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.83 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 45c | 583.09$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.29 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 45c | 564.28$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.13 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 41c | 497.92$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.36 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 47c | 446.08$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.66 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 40c | 349.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.83 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 39c | 299.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 41c | 241.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 57c | 221.88$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Navy Midshipmen | 55c | 198.71$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 34c | 183$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Navy Midshipmen | 72c | 164.61$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 47c | 150.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 39c | 124.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Navy Midshipmen | 61c | 117.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 62c | 115.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Navy Midshipmen | 61c | 113.08$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 110.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Navy Midshipmen | 53c | 104.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 104.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Navy Midshipmen | 37c | 103.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Navy Midshipmen | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 40c | 99.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 96.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 79.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…23a9backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 74.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 41c | 72.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 35c | 67.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Navy Midshipmen | 66c | 62.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 53c | 62.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 26c | 61.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 33c | 59.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Navy Midshipmen | 68c | 57.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Navy Midshipmen | 54c | 57.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 53.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 44c | 42.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 40.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68c…c8b1backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 30c | 38.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Navy Midshipmen | 56c | 35.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Navy Midshipmen | 48c | 34.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 47c | 33.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 47c | 32.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Navy Midshipmen | 59c | 29.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Navy Midshipmen | 54c | 29.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 41c | 27.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Navy Midshipmen | 56c | 24.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Navy Midshipmen | 51c | 23.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a73…de17backed Navy Midshipmen | 55c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 67c | 17.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-12.5)this page
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon DeaconsWake Forest Demon Deacons won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 147.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 148.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 149.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 150.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 152.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-10.5)Navy Midshipmen won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-11.5)Navy Midshipmen won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-8.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-9.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.